首页|数智平台参与农业科技成果转化的多主体博弈行为研究

数智平台参与农业科技成果转化的多主体博弈行为研究

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[目的]通过构建科技成果供给主体、数智平台、科技需求主体三方参与的演化博弈模型,分析数智平台参与农业科技成果转化的多主体行为选择,旨在为优化农业科技成果转化机制提供理论支撑.[方法]基于动态演化博弈理论构建三方收益矩阵,借助Matlab数值仿真分析,剖析初始意愿、显性成本、隐性成本、收益分配等在不同参数下对农业科技成果转化主体的决策行为的影响.[结果]①假设各主体选择"积极参与"策略的收益都为正,非稳定点会沿着鞍点E1(0,0,0)演化,最终达到稳定点E8(1,1,1);②初始意愿的强烈与否决定合作走向,三方初始意愿越强,则"积极合作"的趋向速度越快;③显性成本和隐性成本也是决定合作走向的重要因素,随着显性成本或隐性成本增加,趋向积极合作平衡点的速度减慢;④任何主体分配比例越高,选择"积极参与"的概率将越大,但随着某一主体分配比例过高,其他主体选择"积极参与"的概率会降低.[结论]只有创造环境提升各主体的初始意愿、降低合作成本,充分考虑各主体利益分配的均衡性,才能加快科技成果转化的速度和效率.建议通过构建农业科技成果转化数智平台网络,加大对数智平台建设维护的投入力度,规范科技成果转化行为,完善各主体的利益分配机制等优化农业科技成果转化机制.
Multi-agent game behavior of digital intelligence platform participating in transformation of agricultural scientific and technological achievements
[Objective]The study aimed to provide theoretical underpinnings for optimizing the mechanism of agricultural science and technol-ogy transformation by analyzing the multi-agent decision-making process through an evolutionary game model involving three parties:the sup-pliers of technological innovations,digital intelligence platforms and demanders of technology.[Method]Based on the dynamic evolutionary game theory,a tripartite payoff matrix was constructed in the past,and through numerical simulation analysis utilizing Matlab,the impacts of various parameters such as initial willingness,explicit and implicit costs,and revenue distribution on the decision-making behaviors of the ag-ricultural science and technology achievement transformation entities were analyzed.[Result](ⅰ)Assuming that the returns of all subjects choosing the'active participation'strategy were all positive,the unstable point evolved along the saddle point E1(0,0,0)and ultimately reached the stable point E8(1,1,1);(ⅱ)The intensity of the initial willingness determined the direction of cooperation.As the initial will-ingness of all three parties increased,the trend towards'active cooperation'accelerated;(ⅲ)Explicit cost and implicit costs were also im-portant factors determining the direction of cooperation.As either explicit or implicit costs increased,the speed of moving towards the equilib-rium point of positive cooperation slowed down;(ⅳ)The higher the allocation ratio of any subject,the greater the probability of choosing'ac-tive participation'.However as the allocation ratio of a certain subject was too high,the probability of other subjects choosing'active partici-pation'decreased.[Conclusion]To expedite the pace and efficiency of technology transformation,it is imperative to create an environment that enhances the initial willingness of all parties,reduces collaboration costs,and ensures balanced consideration of each party's interests in the distribution of benefits.Recommendations include constructing a network of digital intelligence platforms for agricultural science and tech-nology transformation,increasing investment in the development and maintenance of digital intelligence platforms,standardizing the agricultur-al science and technology transformation practices,and refining the mechanisms for benefit distribution among all stakeholders.

Digital intelligence platformAgricultural technology transformationBehavioral decision-makingDynamic evolutionary game

郭耀辉、杨万宝、黄东南、汪君

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四川省农业科学院农业信息与农村经济研究所,成都 610006

国家统计局四川调查总队,成都 610072

数智平台 农业科技成果转化 行为决策 动态演化博弈

国家重点研发计划项目科技支撑四川农业高质量发展研究项目雅安市创建国家现代农业产业科技创新中心"揭榜挂帅"项目1+9科技攻关项目

2020YFD11006052022ZZCX037kczx2023-2025-271+9KJGG009

2024

西南农业学报
四川,云南,贵州,广西,西藏及重庆省(区,市)农科院

西南农业学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.679
ISSN:1001-4829
年,卷(期):2024.37(9)