首页|新质生产力赋能的产业协同集聚、技术创新与绿色经济效率——基于空间计量模型的中介效应分析

新质生产力赋能的产业协同集聚、技术创新与绿色经济效率——基于空间计量模型的中介效应分析

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结合空间计量模型与中介效应分析方法,基于2009-2022年我国省级数据,考察新质生产力赋能的产业协同集聚对绿色经济效率的影响以及技术创新在其中所起的中介作用。相对于传统中介效应分析,考虑空间效应的中介效应分析可以修正由于忽略空间相关关系而导致的偏误,并可以通过空间效应分解更准确地识别出变量间的影响关系。结果显示:(1)中国省际间的绿色经济效率具有显著的空间交互效应和跨期交互效应。(2)产业协同集聚短期内对本地区及其他地区的绿色经济效率具有显著促进作用,而长期内可能存在过度集聚而产生"拥塞效应"。(3)产业协同集聚在短期内对其他地区的技术创新具有显著抑制作用,即产业协同集聚对技术创新的影响可能存在"拥塞效应"和"路径依赖效应"。(4)传统中介效应分析和基于空间计量模型的中介效应分析具有明显差异,传统中介效应分析方法下技术创新不具有"中介效应",而基于空间计量模型的中介效应分析显示,技术创新在产业协同集聚对绿色经济效率的影响中具有"部分中介效应"。
Industrial Collaborative Agglomeration,Technological Innovation and Efficiency of Green Economy from New Quality Productivity:A Mediation Effect Analysis based on Spatial Econometric Model
Based on provincial-level data from 2009 to 2022,this paper combines spatial econometric model and media-tion effect analysis to investigate the influence of industrial collaborative agglomeration enabled by new quality produc-tivity on green economy efficiency and the mediating role of technological innovation.Compared with the traditional mediation effect analysis,this method which considered spatial effect can correct the errors caused by ignoring spatial correlation,and identify the influence relationship between variables more accurately through spatial effect decomposi-tion.The results show that,firstly,the efficiency of green economy among provinces in China has significant spatial and intertemporal interaction effects.Secondly,the collaborative agglomeration has a significant promoting effect on the ef-ficiency of the region itself and others in a short term.While in a longer term,excessive agglomeration may produce"congestion effect".Thirdly,the agglomeration has a significant negative impact on other regions'technological innova-tion in a short term,indicating that the influence on technological innovation may have"congestion effect"and"path dependence effect".Fourthly,there is a significant difference between the traditional mediation effect analysis and the spatial econometric model-based mediation effect analysis.Technological innovation does not have a"mediation effect"under the traditional method,but the spatial econometric model-based mediation effect analysis shows that technological innovation has a"partial intermediary effect"in the impact of industrial collaborative agglomeration on the green econo-my efficiency.

new quality productivityindustrial collaborative agglomerationtechnological innovationefficiency of green economyspatial econometricsmediation effect

孙绪芹、陆雪艳

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南京体育学院,江苏南京 210014

南京大学政府管理学院,江苏南京 210014

河海大学商学院,江苏南京 211100

新质生产力 产业协同集聚 技术创新 绿色经济效率 空间计量 中介效应

2024

西南大学学报(社会科学版)
西南大学

西南大学学报(社会科学版)

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.989
ISSN:1673-9841
年,卷(期):2024.50(5)