首页|国内大循环格局下我国居民消费水平的影响因素——基于空间杜宾计量模型

国内大循环格局下我国居民消费水平的影响因素——基于空间杜宾计量模型

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党的二十大指出,必须完整、准确、全面贯彻新发展理念,坚持高水平对外开放,加快构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局。在国内大循环的新发展格局下,需求侧改革发挥着不可忽视的作用,而提升我国居民消费水平则是需求侧改革的重点。通过选用2013年至2021年期间全国31个省份的面板数据构建空间杜宾计量模型分析我国居民消费水平的影响因素,结果发现:改善居民收入、城镇化、医疗水平,不仅能促进本省居民消费,还能带动邻省居民消费水平。因此,在新发展格局下,通过不断缩小城乡居民收入差距、持续推进城镇化进程、积极优化社会保障制度等措施,将有助于提升我国居民的消费水平。
Factors Influencing Chinese Resident Consumption Level in the Context of Domestic Economic Cycle——An Analysis with Spatial Dubin Model
It is pointed out on the 20th CPC National Congress that it is necessary to fully,accurately and comprehensively implement the new development concept,adhere to a high-standard opening-up,and to accelerate the establishment of a"dual circulation"development pattern in which domestic economic cycle plays a leading role with domestic and overseas markets complementing each other.Demand-side reform plays a role that cannot be ignored in the new development pattern,and improving the consumption level of Chinese residents is the focus of the reform.By using the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2021 to build a spatial Dubin econometric model we analyze the factors influencing resident consumption,and find that improving resident income,urbanization and medical treatment can not only promote the consumption level of residents in the province,but also drive the consumption level of residents in neighboring provinces.Therefore,under the new development pattern of domestic circulation in China,consumption level of Chinese residents will be improved by continuing to promote urbanization,and to narrow the income gap between urban and rural residents,and by enhancing and optimizing the social security system.

domestic economic cycledemand-side reformthe new development paradigmresident consumptionspatial spillover effect

李保华、齐心怡

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东北财经大学经济学院,辽宁大连 116025

香港城市大学商学院,香港 999077

国内大循环 需求侧改革 新发展格局 居民消费 空间溢出效应

2024

西南石油大学学报(社会科学版)
西南石油大学

西南石油大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.355
ISSN:1674-5094
年,卷(期):2024.26(4)