Aiming at the timeliness and cost saving requirements of emergency management,three emergency material reserve modes are comprehensively considered:government self-built storage,entrusted enterprise agent storage and enterprise production capacity reserve.Through the establishment of the dynamic simulation model of emergency material reserve system,from the perspective of the regulation of the government enterprise joint reserve mode and the virus transmission mechanism,this paper studies the quantitative evaluation of the change rule of emergency medical material demand and the performance of the government emergency material reserve management.The simulation results show that:the peak value of the total cost of emergency materials reserve under the mode of government enterprise joint reserve is lower than that of the government reserve or the enterprise reserve;the total cost and volatility of government medical material demand and material reserve increase with the increase of virus contact infection rate;the sensitivity of the total cost of government enterprise joint reserve materials to the law of virus transmission is higher than that to the reserve mode and reserve cost.For the government,compared with the reserve mode and reserve management strategy,controlling the spread of the epidemic can reduce the management cost of emergency materials faster.
System DynamicsMedical SuppliesGovernment Enterprise AllianceMaterials Reserve
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万方数据
