首页|碳配额交易机制下竞争企业低碳技术扩散——基于复杂网络的演化博弈分析

碳配额交易机制下竞争企业低碳技术扩散——基于复杂网络的演化博弈分析

扫码查看
碳配额交易机制被认为是应对全球气候变化最有效的碳减排市场激励手段.为了探究此机制下企业生产、减排和碳交易的最优决策以及低碳技术的扩散度,构建了低碳技术-传统技术两种减排博弈模型,分析各参数对最优决策的影响;同时,以WS小世界网络为载体,设计演化规则,利用数值仿真探索各要素对低碳技术扩散的驱动效应.结果表明:微观层面,碳配额和竞争强度升高对减排水平、碳价格和碳交易量提升无益,但产量与碳配额正相关,与竞争强度负相关.宏观层面,低碳技术的扩散程度取决于企业间竞争强度以及碳配额水平,碳配额的降低以及企业竞争强度的减弱都能够促进低碳技术的扩散.与补贴机制相比,碳配额交易机制可实现经济效益与环境效益的"双赢",即碳配额交易机制能够促进低碳技术扩散程度并令企业获得更高利润.
Low carbon technology diffusion of competitive firms under cap and trade mechanism—Evolutionary game analysis based on complex network
Cap and trade is considered to be the most effective market incentive mechanism for carbon emission reduction to deal with global climate change.In order to study the optimal decision-making of production,emission reduction and carbon trading as well as the diffusion of low-carbon technology under this mechanism,we build two emission reduction game models of low-carbon technology and traditional technology under cap and trade mechanism for competitive firms.The impact of various parameters on the optimal decision-making is analyzed;at the same time,taking WS small world network as the carrier,the evolution rules are designed,and the driving effect of various factors on the diffusion of low-carbon technology is explored by numerical simulation.The results show that the increase of carbon cap and competition intensity is not beneficial to the improvement of emission reduction level,carbon price and carbon trading volume in the micro level.However,output is positively correlated with carbon cap and negatively correlated with competition intensity.In the macro level,the diffusion degree of low-carbon technology under cap and trade mechanism depends on the competition intensity and cap level among firms.The reduction of cap level and the weakening of firm competition intensity can promote the diffusion of low-carbon technology.Compared with the subsidy mechanism,cap and trade mechanism can achieve"win-win"situation between economic and environmental benefits,that is,cap and trade mechanism can promote simultaneously the diffusion of low-carbon technologies and enable firms to obtain higher benefits.

cap and tradelow-carbon technology diffusioncomplex networkevolution game

刘培德、李西娜、李佳路

展开 >

山东财经大学管理科学与工程学院,济南 250000

碳配额交易 低碳技术扩散 复杂网络 演化博弈

国家社会科学基金重大项目教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金山东省"泰山学者"项目山东财经大学研究生创新计划山东财经大学研究生创新计划

19ZDA08021YJC6300612022cxxm016GK202102

2024

系统工程理论与实践
中国系统工程学会

系统工程理论与实践

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:1.575
ISSN:1000-6788
年,卷(期):2024.44(2)
  • 34