首页|考虑源荷不确定性的能量枢纽负荷优化调度

考虑源荷不确定性的能量枢纽负荷优化调度

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能源互联网的快速发展使得传统的能源系统向多种能源高度耦合的综合能源系统转型,综合能源系统有助于促进可再生能源消纳、提高能源利用效率、缓解环境污染.能量枢纽作为综合能源系统规划和运行的重要建模工具与分析框架,自提出以来一直受到广泛的研究和关注.针对以风能和光热为代表的可再生能源渗透综合能源系统,本文构建由风力发电机组、热电联产设备、电转气设备和光热电站组成的能量枢纽结构,提出源荷不确定性环境下基于分布鲁棒优化的能量枢纽两阶段负荷优化调度模型.该模型考虑风电、光热、电负荷和热负荷的不确定性,建立基于Wasserstein距离的不确定性分布模糊集.模型分为日前和实时两个调度阶段,第一阶段基于日前预测数据进行日前调度,第二阶段为抑制预测误差的影响对灵活设备进行实时调度,以期获得最恶劣不确定性分布下的最小实时调度成本.模型采用仿射策略实现设备出力调整,通过强对偶理论转换为混合整数线性规划问题并求解.仿真结果表明,多能耦合设备可以提升系统灵活性并促进可再生能源消纳,同时所提分布鲁棒优化算法能在系统经济性和鲁棒性中取得平衡.
Optimal load dispatch of energy hub under source-load uncertainty
The rapid development of the energy internet has led to the transformation of the traditional energy system into an integrated energy system with the high coupling of multiple energy sources,which is conducive to promoting the consumption of renewable energy,improving energy efficiency and alleviating environmental pollution.As an important modeling tool and analysis framework for the planning and operation of integrated energy systems,energy hubs have been widely studied and paid attention to since their introduction.In this paper,we propose an energy hub structure consisting of wind turbine,combined heat and power unit,power-to-gas unit and concentrating solar power plant,and propose a two-stage optimal load dispatch model based on distributionally robust optimization for the energy hub under source-load uncertainty.The model takes into account the uncertainties of wind power,solar thermal,electrical load and thermal load,and establishes an ambiguity set of uncertainties based on Wasserstein distance.The model is divided into two scheduling stages:day-ahead scheduling based on day-ahead forecast data in the first stage,and real-time scheduling of flexible equipment in the second stage to suppress the impact of forecast errors in order to obtain the minimum real-time scheduling cost under the worst uncertainty distribution.The model uses an affine strategy to adjust the equipment output and is transformed into a mixed-integer linear programming problem,which is solved by strong dual theory.The simulation results show that the multi-energy coupled devices can enhance the system flexibility and promote the renewable energy consumption,while the proposed distributionally robust optimization algorithm can balance the system economy and robustness.

integrated energy systemenergy hubconcentrated solar power plantoptimal load dispatchdistributionally robust optimization

李浩斌、陆信辉、周开乐、杨善林

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合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009

过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009

能源环境智慧管理与绿色低碳发展安徽省哲学社会科学重点实验室,合肥工业大学,合肥 230009

综合能源系统 能源枢纽 光热电站 负荷优化调度 分布鲁棒优化

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金中央高校基本科研业务费专项

722010847224210372271071JZ2023HGTB0279

2024

系统工程理论与实践
中国系统工程学会

系统工程理论与实践

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:1.575
ISSN:1000-6788
年,卷(期):2024.44(7)