Multi-objective coevolution prediction of China's manufacturing structure in the context of carbon peaking
The high-quality transformation of the manufacturing industry structure is the key to further stimulate the potential of energy conservation and emission reduction.Taking growth,employment,energy saving and carbon reduction as multiple objectives,and the input-output equation and the goal of carbon peaking as the main constraint conditions,in order to accurately predict the adjustment trend of manufacturing structure,this paper constructs a multi-objective optimization model of manufacturing structure,and uses the dual population coevolution frame-work to solve it,drawing the following conclusions:Under the premise of carbon peaking,the adjustment of the manufacturing structure can effectively promote the balance,trade-off and co-ordination among the objectives.As their proportions continue to increase,the communication equipment,computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing,and the instrumentation and other manufacturing will ultimately become the two categories of industries with the largest proportion in the manufacturing industry.The low-carbon and high-quality development of man-ufacturing industry cannot simply rely on the reduction of energy-intensive production capacity,and its key is to achieve profound low-carbon transformation or structural optimization of raw materials,productive processes,and products.
万方数据
维普
