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基于决策成本的军事冲突图模型

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成本是决策者做出决策时的重要考量依据.为了描述冲突中成本对决策者的影响,本文建立了基于决策成本的冲突分析图模型,并将其与军事学相融合,形成基于成本的军事博弈图模型.首先,基于成本理论定义决策成本图模型的一系列建模要素,给出相对成本偏好矩阵、成本改良可达集等定义;其次,将基于决策成本的图模型与军事学融合,在模型中引入杀伤成本、转移成本等概念,形成基于成本的军事博弈图模型;最后,将军事博弈图模型应用于某军事冲突案例,解出决策者的可能选择和冲突的稳定解.算例结果表明,本文所构建的模型能有效模拟军事冲突中决策者的行为,对实际作战具有一定指导意义.
The graph model for military conflict based on decision cost
Cost is an important consideration for decision makers when making decisions.A graph model for conflict resolution based on decision cost is established to describe the impact of cost on decision makers in conflict.The model is integrated with military science to form a graph model for military game based on cost.Firstly,a series of modeling elements of graph model are defined based on cost theory,and the definition of relative cost preference matrix and cost improvement reachable set are given.Secondly,the graph model based on decision cost is integrated with military science,and the concepts of killing cost and transfer cost are introduced into the model to form a graph model for military game based on cost.Finally,the graph model for military game is applied to a military conflict case to solve the possible choices of decision makers and the stable solution of the conflict.The results show that the model can effectively simulate the behavior of decision makers in military conflicts,and has certain guiding significance for actual combat.

decision costgraph model for conflict resolutionmilitary game

于晶、张飞羽

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南京理工大学经济管理学院,南京 210094

决策成本 冲突分析图模型 军事博弈

2024

系统工程理论与实践
中国系统工程学会

系统工程理论与实践

CSTPCDCSSCI北大核心
影响因子:1.575
ISSN:1000-6788
年,卷(期):2024.44(11)