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区块链共享模式下的分布式光伏扩散演化模拟

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为分析区块链能源共享促进分布式光伏市场扩散的机理,基于复杂网络演化博弈理论构建了能源共享多主体模拟模型,分析了不同共享机制下用户策略选择的演变过程,验证了相较于上网电价补贴,区块链能源共享可以通过牺牲市场扩散速度换得更低的平均成本.结果还表明自愿参与机制相较于强制性的共享机制可以达成更优的市场扩散规模和更高的能源本地利用率,且提高初期共享参与度是促进分布式光伏市场扩散的有效手段.也就是说,对于具有双边网络效应的分布式光伏和能源共享平台,通过短期的营销投入积累早期平台用户可以替代持续的商品补贴以促进市场扩散.
Simulation of the distributed PV diffusion under blockchain sharing
To analyze the promoting mechanism of blockchain energy sharing on the market diffusion of distributed photovoltaic(PV),a multi-agent blockchain energy sharing simulation model based on complex network evolutionary game theory was proposed.The evolution path of heterogeneous users'strategy selec-tion under different sharing mechanism scenarios were simulated.The results verified that comparing to the subsidies,the blockchain energy sharing can obtain lower average cost at the cost of market diffusion speed.The voluntary sharing mechanism can achieve larger market scale and higher local energy utilization rates than others.And promoting sharing participation of sharing platform at the early stage can effectively accel-erate the diffusion of distributed PV.That is,for goods and platforms with two-side network effects such as the blockchain energy sharing and distributed PV,appealing customers through investing on marketing can substitute the subsidies on goods to stimulate the market diffusion.

energy sharingevolutionary gamecomplex networksmulti-agent simulation

王歌、张奇、李彦、余乐安

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华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206

中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249

清华大学环境学院,北京 100084

中国科学院大学魏桥国科联合实验室,北京 100190

滨州魏桥国科高等技术研究院,山东滨州 256600

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能源共享 演化博弈 复杂网络 多主体模拟

2024

系统工程学报
中国系统工程学会

系统工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.192
ISSN:1000-5781
年,卷(期):2024.39(2)