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高铁开通是否降低了投资者异质信念?

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为研究高铁开通对于投资者异质信念的影响,以 2006 年∼2019 年间中国A股上市公司为研究样本,以高铁开通为自然实验,采用双重差分模型展开实证分析.研究发现,样本期内,高铁开通显著降低了当地企业的投资者异质信念水平;更换主变量以及采用工具变量法控制内生性问题后结论依然成立;作用机理研究表明,高铁开通提高了公司信息披露质量,提高分析师预测准确度,进而影响投资者异质信念;异质性分析发现,对于市值规模较小的企业和国有企业,高铁开通对异质信念水平的影响更为显著.
Does the opening of high-speed rail reduce investors'heterogeneous beliefs?
In order to study the impact of high-speed rail opening on investors'heterogeneous beliefs,the paper takes China's A-share listed companies from 2006 to 2019 as the research sample,uses high-speed rail opening as a natural experiment,and employs the difference-in-difference approach(DID)for empirical analysis.The result shows that the opening of high-speed rail significantly reduces the level of investors'heterogeneous beliefs of companies along the railway.The conclusion is still significant after replacing main variable and controlling for endogenous problems by utilizing instrumental variables approach.Mechanism analysis shows that the opening of high-speed railway reduces investors'heterogeneous beliefs through improving the quality of company information disclosure and the accuracy of analysts'predictions.The heterogeneity analysis finds that the opening of high-speed rail has a more significant impact on the level of heterogeneous beliefs for enterprises with smaller market capitalization and state-owned enterprises..

opening of high-speed railwayheterogeneous beliefsanalyst forecastinformation disclosure quality

张昱昭、杜修立、张雨薇

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南京财经大学金融学院,江苏 南京 210023

南京大学商学院,江苏 南京 210008

高铁开通 异质信念 分析师预测 信息披露质量

2024

系统工程学报
中国系统工程学会

系统工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.192
ISSN:1000-5781
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)