首页|海上丝绸之路港口与城市经济的空间效应

海上丝绸之路港口与城市经济的空间效应

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为研究"21世纪海上丝绸之路"倡议下我国沿线港口与城市经济的协调发展状况,进而评估该倡议的政策效果,选取沿线重点政策港口城市,构建空间杜宾模型分析港口与城市经济的空间效应,并进一步以倡议发起年为分隔点,观察倡议提出前后港口与城市经济空间效应的变化.结果表明,沿线港口城市的经济增长总体存在显著的正向空间溢出效应;而倡议发起年之后,沿线港口城市的经济增长则存在显著的负向空间溢出效应;并且港口城市的产业结构升级对城市经济增长的空间效应也显著为负.结论揭示,"21世纪海上丝绸之路"的倡议对国内港城统筹协调发展的促进作用有限,沿线港口城市也没能抓住战略机遇期主动调整临港经济产业布局.
Spatial effects of ports and urban economies along the Maritime Silk Road
In order to study the coordinated development of Chinese ports and urban economies along the Maritime Silk Road(MSR)under the"21st Century MSR"initiative and to evaluate the policy's effects,this paper selects key policy port cities along the MSR,constructs a Spatial Dubin Model(SDM),and analyzes the spatial effects of these ports and urban economies.The start year of the initiative is used as a dividing point to observe the changes in economic spatial effects before and after its implementation.The results show that there is a generally significant positive spatial spillover effect on these ports and urban economies.However,after the launch of the initiative,a significant negative spatial spillover effect is observed.Besides,the spatial spillover effects of industrial structure upgrading of these ports on urban economies are also significantly negative.It may reveal that the"21st Century MSR"initiative has had a limited role in promoting the coordinated development of domestic ports and cites,and that the port cities along the MSR have not seized the strategic opportunity to actively adjust the industrial layout and economic structure.

21st-Century Maritime Silk Roadport city coordinated developmentspatial spillover effect

林波、汤洁、鲁渤

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广州工商学院商学院,广东 广州 510850

大连理工大学经济管理学院,辽宁 大连 116024

21世纪海上丝绸之路 港城协调发展 空间溢出效应

2024

系统工程学报
中国系统工程学会

系统工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.192
ISSN:1000-5781
年,卷(期):2024.39(6)