摘要
文章探讨人工智能大模型技术的最新发展趋势及其对新质生产力涌现的动力机制的影响.自2022年12月OpenAI发布ChatGPT以来,人工智能大模型技术迅速成为全球科技研究的热点.文章分析大模型技术的新趋势,包括通用大模型的竞争格局、多模态大模型的技术突破、开源与闭源模型之间的差距缩小、AI Agent作为未来智能社会的基本形态、行业大模型的快速发展以及机器人技术的进步.同时,从人工智能创新内涵的角度,讨论新一轮科技革命的到来,包括范式转变、底层逻辑的转变、大模型的不确定性和可塑性对软件开发模式的影响,以及科学研究范式的演进.最后,指出大模型的发展带来的新挑战,如视频深度伪造风险、版权问题、AI生成内容安全监管等,并对未来的发展趋势进行展望.
Abstract
This paper explores the latest development trends of artificial intelligence(AI)large model technology and its impact on the driving mechanism of the emergence of new productive forces.Since OpenAI released ChatGPT in December 2022,the AI large model technology has rapidly became a hot topic of global technological research.The article analyzes the new trends in the large model technology,including the competitive landscape of general large models,the technological breakthroughs in multimodal large models,narrowing the gap between open-source and closed-source models,the emergence of AI agents as the basic form of the future intelligent society,the rapid development of industry large models,and advances in machine technology.Meanwhile,from the perspective of the innovation connotation of AI,this paper also discusses the arrival of a new round of technological revolution,including paradigm shift,transformation of underlying logic,the impact of uncertainty and plasticity of large models on software development patterns,and the evolution of scientific research paradigms.Finally,this paper points out the new challenges brought by the development of large models,such as the risk of deep video forgery,copyright issues,and the security supervision of AI-generated content,and provides an outlook on future development trends.
维普
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