首页|数字经济、人力资本与产业结构升级的关系——基于省级面板数据的PVAR模型

数字经济、人力资本与产业结构升级的关系——基于省级面板数据的PVAR模型

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根据2011-2020年30个中国各省(区、市,除西藏外)的面板数据构建面板向量自回归(panel vector autoregression,PVAR)模型,运用格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析和方差分解研究数字经济、人力资本和产业结构升级三者之间的关系。研究表明:数字经济能有效起到对人力资本的促进作用,而人力资本未能有效发挥对数字经济的作用;产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化都能优化提高人力资本水平,但人力资本未能发挥出对产业结构高级化和产业结构合理化的促进作用;数字经济对产业结构合理化的促进作用显著,但对产业结构高级化的促进作用不显著。针对研究结果提出相关建议。
The Relationship Between Digital Economy,Human Capital and Industrial Structure Upgrading:PVAR Model Based on Provincial Panel Data
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities(except Xizang)in China from 2011 to 2020,a panel vector autoregression model(PVAR)is constructed to study the relationship among digital economy,human capital and industrial structure upgrading by means of Granger causality test,impulse response analysis and variance decomposition.The research shows that:the digital economy can effectively promote human capital while the reverse is not true;both the upgrading and the rationalization of industrial structure can optimize and improve human capital while the reverse is not true;and digital economy plays a more significant role in promoting the rationalization of industrial structure than in promoting the upgrading of industrial structure.Some suggestions are put forward according to the research results.

digital economyhuman capitalindustrial structurePVAR model

任重、许丹

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杭州电子科技大学经济学院,浙江杭州 310018

数字经济 人力资本 产业结构 PVAR模型

2024

信息与管理研究

信息与管理研究

ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.9(1)
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