The purpose of this paper is to explore the practical experience of U.S.intelligence agencies in car-rying out anticipatory intelligence work,and to provide reference and inspiration for China's intelligence agencies.Taking the four anticipatory intelligence projects initiated by the U.S.Intelligence Advanced Research Projects A-gency(IARPA)as cases,it analyzes their mission scenarios,organized scientific research mode,implementation process and influence.This paper organizes the practical process of anticipatory intelligence work from four as-pects,including the connotation of mission scenarios,the sources of clues,the indicators for judging,and the con-struction of teams.This paper summarizes the characteristics and revelations of anticipatory intelligence work from five aspects,including cross-domain synergy,quantitative assessment,win-win situation of science and commerce,diversified team,and impact assessment.Finally,the paper puts forward some suggestions for China's intelligence agencies to carry out anticipatory intelligence work.
维普
万方数据