On the Cumulative Deterrence in Israel's Security Strategy
Cumulative deterrence is an important theory in the study of Israeli security strategy.This paper argues that the cumulative deterrence is in fact a unification of the"punishment"and"denial",and can be divided into"punishment preferred","punishment-denial",and"denial preferred",depending on the degree of emphasis placed on them.Israel's traditional"punishment preferred"model has played an important role in deterring Arab states,but has not been as effective in dealing with threats from non-state actors.After the second Intifada,Israel's cumulative deterrence model shifted from"punishment preferred"to a"punishment-denial"model,focusing on the high-value nature of defence.Overall,cumulative deterrence enhances Israel's ability to deal with a wide range of pressing threats.In the foreseeable future,it will be difficult to shift to a"denial preferred"model,resulting from the"competitiveness"of conventional forces and Israel's pursuit of absolute security.If Israel wants to achieve real and lasting security,it must participate actively in a new round of dialogue for peace in the Middle East,while restraining its use of military means.
Middle East securityIsraelcumulative deterrencedeterrence by punishmentdeterrence by denialthe Palestinian-Israel conflict
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