首页|伊朗与以色列网络空间冲突的演进、动因及影响

伊朗与以色列网络空间冲突的演进、动因及影响

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自伊朗遭受2010年"震网"网络攻击以来,伊朗与以色列在网络空间的攻防冲突日益激烈、已进入白热化阶段,且成为双方战略对抗的新形式之一.伊、以在网络空间展开激烈的攻防能力竞赛,网络攻击增加且造成了现实破坏性结果.网络空间"进攻占优"的特性使得伊、以能够运用网络技术手段来实现各自战略对抗目标.网络冲突不会引发大规模军事报复以及缺乏国际社会监管,又有助于约束冲突烈度,促使双方不断加强在网络空间的攻防对抗.伊朗与以色列在网络空间部分地实现了对抗目标,但网络冲突加剧则促推双方战略对抗升级、深化双方之间的安全困境与对立状态;双方在网络空间冲突过程中提高了军事体系信息化水平、加强与域外大国网络合作、在地区构建网络攻防体系,增加了自身可运用的军事力量和手段.伊、以网络空间冲突与现实军事对抗相结合的"混合战争"趋势日益明显.
Iran-Israel Cyberspace Conflict:Evolution,Motivations and Impacts
Since the Stuxnet cyberattack in 2010,conflicts between Iran and Israel in cyberspace have been growingly aggravated and turned white-hot,emerging as a new form of their strategic confrontation.Iran and Israel started a competition on cyber defensive and offensive capabilities,and their increasing cyberattacks on each other caused physical damage.As cyberspace is an offensive-dominant arena,Iran and Israel can fulfill their goals of strategic confrontation in the real world through cyber means.Cyber conflict is unlikely to trigger a large-scale military retaliation and lacks international supervision,thus helping to limit their conflict intensity.Though both sides have partially achieved their strategic goals in cyberspace,the intensified cyber conflicts boosted the escalation of their strategic confrontation,and further deepened the security dilemma and antagonism between them.In the process of conflicts,Iran and Israel have promoted the military informatization level,strengthened cyber security cooperation with great powers outside the region,and constructed cyber offensive and defensive systems inside the region,which increased their capabilities and means that can be used in the confrontation.It is worth noting that the trend of"hybrid warfare"combining cyberspace conflicts with the actual militaryconfrontation between Iran and Israel is becoming more and more obvious.

cyberspace conflictIranIsraelnational security"hybrid warfare"

陈瑶

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上海外国语大学国际关系与公共事务学院

上海外国语大学中东研究所

网络空间冲突 伊朗 以色列 国家安全 "混合战争"

国家社会科学基金(2023)

23BZZ102

2024

西亚非洲
中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所

西亚非洲

CSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.816
ISSN:1002-7122
年,卷(期):2024.(3)