首页|可溶性生长刺激表达基因2蛋白对合并COVID-19的终末期肾病患者预后的预测价值

可溶性生长刺激表达基因2蛋白对合并COVID-19的终末期肾病患者预后的预测价值

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目的 探讨可溶性生长刺激表达基因2蛋白(sST2)对合并新型冠状病毒感染(COVID-19)的终末期肾病(ESRD)患者预后的预测价值.方法 回顾性分析合并COVID-19的ESRD患者的临床资料.采用单因素和多因素logistic回归探讨ESRD患者合并重型和危重型COVID-19及死亡的危险因素.分析细胞因子对患者预后的预测价值.结果 共纳入100例合并COVID-19的ESRD患者,其中COVID-19普通型患者60例,重型患者22例,危重型患者18例.多因素logistic回归显示,入院脉搏氧饱和度、白蛋白、冠心病和连续性肾脏替代治疗是合并重型和危重型COVID-19的独立危险因素.冠心病、白蛋白、乳酸脱氢酶和机械通气是合并COVID-19的ESRD患者死亡的独立危险因素.入院时的sST2预测ESRD患者合并重型和危重型COVID-19的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.706(95%CI:0.563~0.848,P=0.009),预测死亡的 AUC 为 0.837(95%CI:O.729~0.944,P=0.007),白细胞介素-6(IL-6)和 sST2 联合预测死亡的 AUC 为 0.923(95%CI:0.850~0.996,P=0.001).结论 sST2可作为预测合并COVID-19的ESRD患者预后的生物学标记物.
Predictive value of soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 protein in the prognosis of end-stage renal disease patients with COVID-19
Objective To explore the predictive value of soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 protein(sST2)in the prognosis of end-stage renal disease(ESRD)patients with corona virus disease 2019(COVID-19).Methods Retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of ESRD patients with COVID-19.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate the risk factors for disease severity and mortality in ESRD patients with COVID-19.The predictive value of cytokines for patient prognosis was analyzed.Results A total of 100 ESRD patients with COVID-19 were included,including 60 mild cases,22 severe cases,and 18 critically ill cases.Multivariate logistic regression showed that blood oxygen saturation upon admission,albumin levels,coronary heart disease,and continuous renal replacement therapy were independent risk factors for severe and critical COVID-19 in ESRD patients.Coronary heart disease,albumin levels,lactate dehydrogenase,and mechanical ventilation were independent risk factors for patient mortality.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)for sST2 in predicting severe and critical COVID-19 in ESRD patients at admission was 0.706(95%CI:0.563-0.848,P=0.009),and the AUC for predicting mortality was 0.837(95%CI:0.729-0.944,P=0.007).The model combining IL-6 and sST2 for predicting mortality had an AUC of 0.923(95%CI:0.850-0.996,P=0.001).Conclusions sST2 can be used as a biological marker to predict the prognosis of ESRD patients with COVID-19.

soluble ST2end-stage renal diseaseCOVID-19interleukin-6biomarker

孙晴、郭丹宁、张弛、杜霞、马梦青

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南京医科大学附属逸夫医院肾脏内科,江苏南京 211166

可溶性生长刺激表达基因2蛋白 终末期肾病 新型冠状病毒感染 白细胞介素-6 生物学标志物

国家自然科学基金江苏省卫生健康委科研项目南京健康科学和技术发展特别基金

82170698H2023057YKK22110

2024

徐州医科大学学报
徐州医学院

徐州医科大学学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.395
ISSN:2096-3882
年,卷(期):2024.44(8)