AI Mode B:the Next Scientific&Technological Commanding Height
The AI explosion represents the most disruptive innovation in history.While AI significantly enhances productivity,the associated risks also increase dramatically.Even if AI performs ten thousand good deeds,it cannot offset the impact of a single catastrophic action,indicating the enormity of the risks.The mainstream AI development approach(Mode A),which is driven by the goal of enhancing in-telligence and achieving AGI,has led to a"probability of doom"estimated to be as high as 10%-50%.This approach has fundamental flaws and is unsustainable.Therefore,it is imperative to develop an alter-native AI model—Mode B—focusing on augmenting human capabilities through artificial assistance.This approach is poised to become the next commanding height in science and technology(S&T).In the S&T competition among major countries,a multi-dimensional competitive strategy should be adopted,combi-ning multiple approaches.This involves both homogeneous competition within the same dimension and leading by upgrading to higher dimensions.It is essential to incorporate a cultural dimension alongside the technological one to mitigate escalating technological risks.The key to a multi-dimensional competi-tive strategy is to correctly determine the future direction.The COAI direction analysis method can ad-dress the question of whether to continue extrapolating current trends or to change course.It is also cruci-al to review original innovative achievements and identify those innovators and innovations related to the development of AI Mode B and sustainable S&T development models.These innovators deserve attention,funding,and roles as academic leaders.They excel in conducting research in highly comprehensive and interdisciplinary fields and they are essential forces in developing AI Mode B and may even play a leading role.
AI Mode Bprobability of doom crisissignificant scientific riskhigh-risk societyS&T commanding heightmulti-dimensional competitive strategyassistance for human capabilities
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