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考虑属性关联的区间灰熵决策模型

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决策问题的复杂性和人类思维认知的模糊性,往往导致决策在不确定的环境下进行。利用灰色系统来处理决策中的不确定性已经取得了丰硕的成果。然而,如果仅仅使用精确数来表达偏好可能无法准确地反映专家的意见。因此,在这种情况下,本文引入了区间灰数来模拟专家在多个决策模型上的不确定性。尽管基于区间灰数的决策模型数量众多,但它们中的大多数都没有考虑到人类的有限理性。针对属性值以区间灰数形式给出且属性间具有相互作用关系的多属性决策问题,本文提出了基于几何面积的属性关联区间灰熵多属性决策方法。首先,考虑到分辨系数的主观选择会对关联排序造成不良影响,提出基于序列波动情况的指数型分辨系数。其次,给出面积相离度公式替代传统对应点之间的距离来计算接近度。最后提出了新的体现属性间相关性的调整权重公式,计算均衡接近度并排序。算例分析和对比分析验证了本文所提方法的可行性和合理性。
Interval Grey Entropy Decision Model Considering Attribute Association
Under the background of the information age,decision-makers often face many problems that are diffi-cult to solve directly in daily life and production activities,and any problem may have multiple attributes to be considered at the same time.Multi-attribute decision-making problems are ubiquitous in real life.Nowadays,research on multi-attribute decision-making has made great progress and plays an important role in many fields such as economy,science and technology,and aviation.Due to the complexity of society and the high uncertain-ty of the problems faced,in most cases,it is difficult to accurately describe the relevant information with precise numbers.For this reason,how to solve multi-attribute problems under fuzzy or uncertain conditions has gradually attracted attention.Due to the limitations of human cognition,when the obtained decision information is"poor information"or"less samples",grey numbers are often used to describe it.The interval grey number can repre-sent uncertain numbers and express complex information effectively,which is not contained in precise numbers.Using the interval grey number can not only reflect the behavior of the decision-maker but also match the actual decision-making situation.The complexity of decision-making problems and ambiguity of human thinking and cognition,often drive decision-making under uncertain contexts.Though the use of the grey system for dealing with the uncertainty in decision-making has yielded successful results,they are not enough because the use of just one single number to elicit preferences may not reflect experts’opinions properly.Therefore,in such situations,interval grey numbers have been introduced to model experts’uncertainty on multiple decision-making models.Despite an important number of decision models based on interval grey numbers,most of them do not consider the bounded rationality of human beings,although their need and convenience in many real-world decision problems are useful and in demand.Therefore,this paper aims to present a new grey multi-attribute decision-making method based on the geometric shape of the associated attributes.First of all,determining the distinguishing coefficient subjectively will cause adverse effects on the correlation ranking,so we propose a new method based on the sequence fluctua-tions.By determining the distinguishing coefficient of different sequences dynamically,we can effectively solve the problem that is subjectively given.Secondly,the formula of area phase separation is given to calculate the adjacent degree,instead of using the distance between points.The essential characteristics of the interval grey number defines a new formula that can better distinguish between the interval grey number and other ones,and provides a new way of constructing the grey relational model.Then,a new adjustment weight formula that reflects the correlation between attributes is proposed,and the balance degree is calculated.Finally,an example is solved to validate the proposed method.In this paper,an interval grey entropy decision model considering attribute association is proposed which has a positive impact on the development of grey relational decision-making.In spite of this,this paper only considers the correlation between two attributes and does not analyze the complex situation of correlation between multiple indicators.In addition,grey relational decision-making can be extended to dynamic environments.In view of this,a dynamic interval grey number evaluation is one of the possible future research directions.

the interval grey numberattribute associationthe grey entropy modelbalanced adjacent degreemulti-attribute decision-making

郑秋红、丁全玉、王应明

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福州大学 决策科学研究所,福建 福州 350116

浙江工商大学 管理工程与电子商务学院,浙江 杭州 310018

福州大学空间数据挖掘与信息共享教育部重点实验室,福建 福州 350116

区间灰数 属性关联 灰熵模型 均衡接近度 多属性决策

国家自然科学基金资助项目

61773123

2024

运筹与管理
中国运筹学会

运筹与管理

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.688
ISSN:1007-3221
年,卷(期):2024.33(5)