Analysis of the Impact Mechanism of Secondary Forest Aboveground Biomass and Estimation of Carbon Sink Potential in Guangdong Province
Mitigating climate change is facilitated by the significant carbon reservoir formed through the accumu-lation of aboveground biomass in secondary forests.The spatial heterogeneity of Guangdong Province signifi-cantly affects the carbon sink rate of secondary forests.However,the driving factors remain unclear,which seri-ously constrains the accurate estimation and prediction of future carbon sink capacity.Based on the advantages of remote sensing technology in spatial and temporal monitoring,this study quantified the impacts of four major drivers on the rate of accumulation and spatial pattern of aboveground biomass in secondary forests in Guang-dong Province,using high spatial and temporal resolution remote sensing data on aboveground biomass,year of planting secondary forests,and climate,and combined with scenario analyses to predict the future potential of secondary forests in Guangdong Province in terms of carbon enhancement.The results showed that,overall,stand age was the most important factor influencing aboveground biomass accumulation in Guangdong Prov-ince,however,the contributions of other influencing factors were highly spatially heterogeneous.In the Pearl River Delta(PRD)region,climate was the second most important driver,while in the northern,eastern and western regions of Guangdong,it was topography and geomorphology.The effect of soil element content is gen-erally small in the four regions.Among the four scenarios,the maximum storage scenario could maximise car-bon gain of 62.45±2.55 Tg C by 2050.This study can provide scientific reference for sustainable forest manage-ment and high-quality development.