首页|石家庄1995~2015年植被覆盖变化监测及预测

石家庄1995~2015年植被覆盖变化监测及预测

扫码查看
为揭示石家庄1995~2015年植被覆盖变化状况,掌握植被覆盖的变化趋势,该文基于1995、2001、2007、2009、2012和2015年 Landsat TM/OLI 遥感影像数据,通过像元二分模型求得石家庄6个时期的植被覆盖度,借助变异系数模型和 Slope 模型分析该地区20年内植被覆盖的空间变化特点和变化趋势,最后利用元胞自动机-马尔可夫模型对石家庄2018年各级植被覆盖状况进行预测。结果表明:从1995到2015年,石家庄植被覆盖度均值增加了3.71%;全市平均变异系数为0.211,人为因素是植被覆盖波动变化的主要因素;植被覆盖变化趋势呈基本不变和三类变好区域共占全市面积的82.22%,三类变差区域多分布在城市建设和经济发展的活跃地区;到2018年,石家庄高植被覆盖和中高植被覆盖面积都有下降,中植被覆盖和低植被覆盖面积有所提高,极低植被覆盖面积基本不变。
Monitoring and Predicting Changes of Vegetation Coverage in Shijiazhuang from 1995 to 2015
This paper intends to reveal the changes and grasp the trend of vegetation coverage in Shijiazhuang from 1995 to 2015.Firstly,dimidiate pixel model was used to calculate 6 periods of fractional vegetation coverage in Shijiazhuang based on Landsat TM/OLI data of 1995,2001,2007,2009,2012 and 2015.Then CV model and Slope model were used to analysis spatial change characteristics and the trend.Finally CA-Markov model was used to predict the vegetation coverage condition in Shijiazhuang in 2018.Results show that the average of fractional vegetation coverage increased 3.71% from 1995 to 2015;the average CV of the whole city was 0.211,the main reason for vegetation coverage changes is human intervention;almost invariant and three levels of getting better areas were 82.22% of the city,three levels of getting worse were distributed in urban construction and economy development active areas;by 2018,the areas of high and medium-high vegetation coverage in Shijiazhuang will decrease,the areas of medium and low vegetation coverage will increase,and the areas of very-low vegetation coverage will be almost invariant.

Shijiazhuangdimidiate pixel modelfractional vegetation coveragechange monitoringCA-Markov model

杜英坤、燕琴、骆成凤、李福根

展开 >

山东农业大学,山东 泰安 271018

中国测绘科学研究院,北京 100830

国家测绘地理信息局,北京 100830

中国科学院遥感与数字地球研究所,北京 100101

展开 >

石家庄 像元二分模型 植被覆盖度 变化监测 CA-Markov 模型

中国测绘科学研究院基本科研业务项目

7771512

2016

遥感信息
科学技术部国家遥感中心,中国测绘科学研究院

遥感信息

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.712
ISSN:1000-3177
年,卷(期):2016.31(4)
  • 16
  • 10