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中国省域经济—城镇化—人口健康系统耦合协调发展研究

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基于2010-2021年中国31个省域(未含港澳台)的面板数据和经济—城镇化—人口健康系统指标体系的构建,使用熵值赋权综合评价法、耦合度模型和耦合协调度模型分析省域经济—城镇化—人口健康系统的耦合状况和耦合协调发展的时空演化规律。结果显示:(1)2010-2021年中国省域经济、城镇化和人口健康3个子系统的发展滞后问题得到有效地改善,大体呈现出"同步滞后—部分优先—同步发展"的发展态势。(2)三元系统耦合协调发展具有阶段性特征,2010年为中度失调,2011-2015年为轻度失调,2016-2019年为濒临失调,2020-2021年为勉强协调。(3)三元系统耦合协调发展存在区域差异性,各区域有必要深入贯彻新发展理念、强化区际经济合作及推动医疗资源共享加速形成经济、城镇化和人口健康协调发展的长效机制。
A STUDY ON THE COUPLED AND COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA'S PROVINCIAL ECONOMY-URBANIZATION-POPULATION HEALTH SYSTEM
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(Excluding Hong Kong,Macau and Taiwan)in China from 2010 to 2021 and the construction of the economy-urbanization-population health system indicator system,by using the entropy weighting comprehensive evaluation method,coupling degree model,and coupling coordina-tion degree model,the coupling status and spatio-temporal evolution law of the provincial economy-urbaniza-tion-population health system are analyzed.The results show that:(1)The development lag problems of the three subsystems of economic,urbanization,and population health in China's provinces from 2010 to 2021 have been effectively improved,generally showing a changing trend of"synchronous lag-partial priority-synchro-nous development".(2)The coupling coordination development of ternary system has phased characteristics,with moderate disorder in 2010,mild disorder in 2011-2015,borderline disorder in 2016-2019,and barely coordinated in 2020-2021.(3)There are regional differences in the coupling and coordinated development of the ternary system.It is necessary for all regions to thoroughly implement the new development concept,strength-en inter-regional economic cooperation and promote the sharing of medical resources to accelerate the formation of a long-term mechanism for the coordinated development of economy,urbanization and population health.

economyurbanizationpopulation healthcoupling coordinationprovinces of China

陈景信、谭云骏、廖伟爵

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广东药科大学医药商学院,广东广州 510006

广东药科大学卫生经济与健康促进研究中心,广东广州 510006

经济 城镇化 人口健康 耦合协调 中国省域

广州市哲学社科规划2022年度课题广东省医学科研基金项目广东省哲学社会科学规划项目

2022GZGJ10B2022017GD24HYJ02

2024

云南地理环境研究
云南大学

云南地理环境研究

影响因子:0.337
ISSN:1001-7852
年,卷(期):2024.36(3)