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1961-2020年云南热区主部降水和气温时空变化特征

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利用线性回归、距平分析、M-K检测、反距离权重法插值等方法分析1961-2020年云南省67个热区主部地区降水和气温的年际、年代际变化特征。结论:(1)60年间,降水量显著下降,2002年发生由多到少的突变;降水分布集中在伊洛瓦底江、澜沧江、怒江和红河流域南部交汇处,由滇中向滇南增加;降水速率在滇中、滇西北、滇东北地区减少较快,怒山山脉、无量山和哀牢山沿线减少较慢。(2)气温显著上升,2000年前后发生增温突变;河谷地带和南部、西部、东部边境地区气温较高,滇西北、滇东北和滇中地区较低;怒江、澜沧江、元江以南和伊洛瓦底江流域地区气温增幅较快,滇池、抚仙湖、洱海周围和文山地区增幅较慢。
THE CHARACTERISTICS OF PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE CHANGE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE MAIN PART OF YUNNAN HOT AREA FROM 1961 TO 2020
The inter-annual and inter-decadal variation characteristics of precipitation and temperature in the main parts of 67 hot areas in Yunnan Province from 1961 to 2020 are analyzed by methods such as linear regres-sion,anomaly analysis,M-K test,and inverse distance weighting interpolation.Conclusions:(1)Over the past 60 years,precipitation has decreased significantly,with a mutation from more to less in 2002.Precipitation is concentrated at the intersection of the Irrawaddy River,Lancang River,Nujiang River and the Southern part of the Red River,increasing from central Yunnan to Southern Yunnan.The precipitation rate decreases rapidly in central Yunnan,Northwestern Yunnan and Northeastern Yunnan,while it decreases slowly along the Nujiang Mountains,Wuliang Mountains and Ailao Mountains.(2)Temperature has increased significantly,withawar-ming mutation around 2000.The temperature is relatively high in the river valley areas and the Southern,Western and Eastern border areas,while it is relatively low in Northwestern Yunnan,Northeastern Yunnan and Central Yunnan.The temperature increase is faster in the areas South of the Nujiang River,Lancang River,Yuanjiang River and the Irrawaddy River basin,while it is slower around Dianchi Lake,Fuxian Lake,Erhai Lake and in Wenshan area.

Yunnanhot zoneprecipitationtemperatureclimate change

周聪、吴沅芳

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元江县气象局,云南元江 653300

云南 热区 降水 气温 气候变化

2024

云南地理环境研究
云南大学

云南地理环境研究

影响因子:0.337
ISSN:1001-7852
年,卷(期):2024.36(4)