云南电网日负荷特性的影响因素及相关性分析
Analysis of InFluencing Factors and Correlation of Daily Load Characteristics of Yunnan Power Grid
杜峥 1万航羽 1吴政声 1支刚 1郭洪芹 1杨扬1
作者信息
- 1. 中国能源建设集团云南省电力设计院有限公司,云南 昆明 650051
- 折叠
摘要
本文以云南电网历史负荷数据为基础,对云南省电网日负荷特性变化规律进行了分析,总结了主要影响因素,定性及定量分析了各因素对日负荷特性指标的影响程度,计算了日负荷特性指标与影响因素的相关系数,建立了日负荷特性与影响因素的回归模型.研究成果为开展负荷预测、制定负荷调控措施等电网规划提供了有效参考依据.
Abstract
Based on the historical load data of Yunnan power grid,analyzes the changes in daily load characteristics of Yunnan power grid,proposes the main influencing factors,uses qualitative and quantitative analysis methods to study the degree of influence of each factor on daily load characteristics indicators,calculates the correlation coefficient between daily load characteristics indicators and influencing factors,and establishes a regression model between daily load characteristics and influencing factors.The research results provide effective reference basis for carrying out load forecasting,formulating load regulation measures and other power grid work.
关键词
日负荷特性/日负荷率/日最小负荷率/用电结构Key words
daily load characteristics/daily load rate/daily minimum load rate/electricity consumption structure引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024