首页|农村劳动力转移对土地流转的影响——基于CFPS甘肃省样本的实证分析

农村劳动力转移对土地流转的影响——基于CFPS甘肃省样本的实证分析

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本文从农村劳动力转移的视角出发,基于中国家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS)中四期甘肃省样本数据,运用Probit模型,实证分析农村劳动力转移对土地转出和转入两方面的影响.结果表明:甘肃省农村劳动力转移对土地转出和土地转入均有显著影响;劳动力转移与土地流转之间存在内生性问题,利用转移人口家庭中的最高学历作为工具变量,并采用条件混合过程(CMP)估计法来控制;将农业收入细分为三个层次进行异质性分析,发现农业收入中等的农户在土地流转市场中最活跃.
The Influence of Rural Labor Transfer on Land Circulation:Based on the Empirical Analysis of CFPS Gansu Province Sample
From the perspective of rural labor transfer,this paper empirically analyzed the impact of rural labor transfer on both land out-transfer and in-transfer based on the four-phase sample data of Gansu Province from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),using the Probit model.The results in-dicated that,rural labor transfer in Gansu Province had a significant impact on land transfer,with a positive effect on land out-transfer and a negative effect on land in-transfer.There was an endogen-ous problem between labor transfer and land transfer.Taking the highest family education in the trans-ferred population as the instrumental variable,CMP estimation method was used to control the endo-geneity,and the CMP estimation result was significant.The agricultural income level was divided in-to three stages for heterogeneity analysis,and it was found that,farmers with middle agricultural in-come were the most active in the land transfer market.

rural labor transferland out-transfer and in-transferProbit

赵红婷、谈存峰

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甘肃农业大学财经学院,甘肃 兰州 730070

农村劳动力转移 土地转出与土地转入 Probit

2025

云南农业大学学报
云南农业大学

云南农业大学学报

影响因子:0.49
ISSN:1004-390X
年,卷(期):2025.19(2)