气候变化对流域径流的影响研究进展
Research Progress on the Impact of Climate Change on Watershed Runoff
王亚龙 1齐悦 1马浩远 1顾跃 1戴长雷1
作者信息
- 1. 黑龙江大学水利电力学院,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080;黑龙江大学寒区地下水研究所,黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080;黑龙江省寒区水文与水利工程联合实验室(国际合作),黑龙江 哈尔滨 150080
- 折叠
摘要
基于知识图谱定量分析了气候变化对流域径流影响的研究思路和研究进展,并介绍了气候变化对径流响应的基本概念和目前使用的各种研究方法、模型.最后总结了气候变化对流域径流的影响研究最终得出:第一,气候变化对流域径流产生了重要影响;第二,径流模拟和分析方法逐渐发展完善;第三,未来展望中,研究应着重关注以下几个方面:①加强气候变化对径流变化的归因分析和空间分布特征研究;②深入探究流域水循环格局以及各因素之间的相互作用以及人类活动对流域径流变化的影响;③构建更细致准确的水文模型,提高径流预测的准确程度,为流域水资源管理和生态保护提供决策依据.
Abstract
Based on the knowledge map,this paper quantifies the research ideas and progress of the impact of climate change on watershed runoff,and introduces the basic concepts of climate change response to runoff and various research models used at present Finally,the paper summarizes the impact of climate change on watershed runoff and concludes that:First,climate change has an important impact on watershed runoff.Secondly,runoff simulation and analysis methods are gradually developing and improving.Thirdly,the research in the future should focus on the following aspects:1.Strengthen the research on the attribution and spatial distribution characteristics of climate change to runoff change;2.Explore the water cycle pattern of the basin,the interaction among various factors and the influence of human activities on the runoff change of the basin;3.Build a more detailed and accurate hydrological model to improve the accuracy of runoff prediction and provide decision-making basis for water resources management and ecological protection in the basin.
关键词
气候变化/径流响应/归因分析/径流模拟/水文模型Key words
climate change/runoff response/attribution analysis/runoff simulation/hydrological model引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据