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数智时代的公共决策:复合理性转向与范式证成

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何种决策是合理的,这是萦绕公共治理领域中事关决策标准且具有争议性的重大问题。本文以决策认知的核心要素"价值—证据"为二维变量,划分非理性决策、工具理性决策、价值理性决策、复合理性决策等四种基本决策类型。通过对决策理性逻辑演进的脉络分析,刻画公共决策从非理性到单一理性再到复合理性的范式嬗变路径。研究认为,复合理性是公共决策理性标准的前瞻性演进方向,其决策合理性证成建立在决策环境全景认知、主体包容认知以及目标综合认知基础上,对决策者的认知思维、资源和方法手段提出更高要求以统摄公共价值和事实证据之间的张力与合力。面向数智化时代,大数据、人工智能等技术极大改善了决策认知条件,为生成复合理性公共决策所需的新世界观、认识论和方法论提供了可能性。
Compound Rationality:Paradigm Shift of Public Decision-making and Evidence of Digital Intelligence
The question of what kind of decisions are rational is a major issue in the field of public decision making.With the core element of decision cognition"value-evidence"as a two-dimensional variable,four basic types of decisions are classified,and then the paradigm transmutation path of public decision-making from irrational to single-rational to compound-rational decisions is portrayed.Compound rationality is the forward-looking evolution direction of public decision-making rationality standard,and its decision-making rationality is based on the panoramic cognition of decision-making environment,inclusive cognition of subject and comprehensive cognition of goal,all of which put forward higher requirements on the cognitive thinking,resources and methods and means of decision makers.In the era of digital intelligence,big data,artificial intelligence and other technologies have greatly improved the cognitive conditions of decision making and provided a new world view,epistemology and methodology for the generation of compound rationality,thus having the possibility of driving the compound turn of decision rationality.

public decision-makingrationalitypublic valueevidence-based decision-makingbig dataartificial intelligence

张红春、杨涛

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贵州大学公共管理学院

公共决策 理性决策 数字政府 循证决策 大数据 人工智能

国家社会科学基金青年项目

21CZZ035

2024

云南行政学院学报
云南行政学院

云南行政学院学报

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.413
ISSN:1671-0681
年,卷(期):2024.26(1)
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