油气藏评价与开发2024,Vol.14Issue(3) :504-509,518.DOI:10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2024.03.020

近废型稠油油藏火驱效益开发新思路

New strategies of beneficial development of in-situ combustion in nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs

郑懿琼 张涛 刘海英 阮聪慧 邹帅
油气藏评价与开发2024,Vol.14Issue(3) :504-509,518.DOI:10.13809/j.cnki.cn32-1825/te.2024.03.020

近废型稠油油藏火驱效益开发新思路

New strategies of beneficial development of in-situ combustion in nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs

郑懿琼 1张涛 2刘海英 1阮聪慧 1邹帅1
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作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油新疆油田公司勘探开发研究院,新疆克拉玛依 834000
  • 2. 中国石油大学(华东)经济管理学院,山东青岛 266580
  • 折叠

摘要

近废型稠油油藏难以通过常规开发方式有效动用剩余储量,火驱技术为此类油藏进一步提高采收率提供方向.现阶段,火驱技术已趋于成熟,但由于成本投入大、经济性差,火驱技术的推广应用面临困境.通过引入量本利分析法中的盈亏平衡模型和敏感性分析,从多维度的经营视角,揭示不同油价年产油量和成本的平衡关系,明确影响火驱经济性的关键指标,进而推动生产运行优化和决策效能提升.研究结果表明,由于储层前后认识差距大,投入力度大于产出力度,同时管控方向不明确,导致火驱成本有效性低,持续开发经营风险认识不足,影响油藏开发投入决策.研究结果为火驱的经营效益提升指明方向,也为近废型稠油油藏效益开发提供管理新思路.

Abstract

Nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs present significant challenges for effective reserve utilization using conventional development methods.In-situ combustion technology emerges as a promising solution to enhance recovery from such reservoirs,although its widespread adoption is hindered by high investment costs and economic inefficiencies.This study employs a break-even model and sensitivity analysis within a volume-cost-benefit framework to explore the equilibrium between oil production costs and revenues under varying oil price scenarios from a multidimensional operational perspective.This approach clarifies the critical economic indices of fire-flooding operations and aims to optimize production operations and decision-making effectiveness.The findings reveal significant gaps in pre-and post-operation understanding of the reservoir,where inputs often surpass outputs,coupled with a lack of clear control strategies.These factors contribute to the low cost-effectiveness of in-situ combustion and insufficient grasp of sustained development and operational risks,ultimately impacting investment decisions in reservoir development.The study not only directs improvements in operational efficiency for in-situ combustion but also offers technical support and introduces new management strategies for the effective development of nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoirs.

关键词

近废型稠油油藏/火驱技术/效益提升/量本利分析法/决策优化

Key words

nearly abandoned heavy oil reservoir/in-situ combustion technology/beneficial enhancement/quantitative cost benefit analysis/decision optimization

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(71801224)

出版年

2024
油气藏评价与开发
中国石油化工集团公司华东石油局

油气藏评价与开发

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.461
ISSN:2095-1426
参考文献量27
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