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基于AHP-云模型的矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态评价

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针对瓦斯突出矿井难以做到对其矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态进行客观、精准评价的问题.本文首先对矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态影响因素进行了分析,在此基础上,构建了矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态评价体系.其次,基于层次分析法,并结合粒子群优化算法PSO对判断矩阵进行优化、修正,在降低主观影响的基础上计算得到评价体系各指标权重.最后,基于云理论与二级指标权重、一级指标权重计算得出总指标的云数字特征,在matlab中运用正向云发生器生成评价指标的标准云模型.并以贵州省某典型瓦斯突出矿井为研究对象,结合该矿现场的实际调研情况,得出矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态综合判别评价标准指标云,并对该矿瓦斯防治系统安全状态做出了准确评价并提出了相应的整改措施.研究成果对瓦斯突出矿井瓦斯防治系统安全状态的客观精准评价、煤矿安全生产有着重要意义.
Safety Status Evaluation of Mine Gas Prevention and Control System Based on AHP Cloud Model
It is difficult to objectively and accurately evaluate the safety status of gas prevention and control systems in gas outburst mines.This article first analyzes the factors affecting the safety status of the mine gas prevention and control system,and based on this,constructs a safety status evaluation system for the mine gas prevention and control system.Secondly,based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process and combined with the Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO)algorithm,the judgment matrix is optimized and modified,and the weights of each indicator in the evaluation system are calculated on the basis of reducing subjective influence.Finally,based on cloud theory and the weights of secondary and primary indicators,the cloud digital features of the total indicator are calculated,and a standard cloud model for evaluation indicators is generated using a forward cloud generator in Matlab.And taking a typical gas outburst mine in Guizhou Province as the research object,combined with the actual investigation situation of the mine site,the comprehensive discrimination and evaluation standard index cloud of the safety status of the mine gas prevention and control system was obtained,and the accurate evaluation of the safety status of the mine gas prevention and control system was made,and corresponding rectification measures were proposed.The research results have important significance for the objective and accurate evaluation of the safety status of gas prevention and control systems in gas outburst mines and for coal mine safety production.

gas disasternine gas prevention and controlsystem security evaluationanalytic hierarchy processcloud model

刘鹏泽、尚宇琦、黄家远、张枝伟

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贵州省煤矿设计研究院有限公司,贵州贵阳 550000

贵州大学矿业学院,贵州贵阳 550025

贵州大学勘察设计研究院有限责任公司,贵州贵阳 550025

瓦斯灾害 矿井瓦斯防治 系统安全评价 层次分析法 云模型

2024

中国矿山工程
中国有色工程设计研究总院

中国矿山工程

影响因子:0.335
ISSN:1672-609X
年,卷(期):2024.53(2)