首页|跨境资本流动对中国商业银行流动性风险的影响——兼论经济政策不确定性的调节作用

跨境资本流动对中国商业银行流动性风险的影响——兼论经济政策不确定性的调节作用

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基于2010-2021年中国42家上市商业银行的数据,使用双向固定效应模型探讨跨境资本流动对银行流动性风险的影响.结果表明:跨境资本流动会提升商业银行的流动性风险,且通过提高流动性错配进而推升银行流动性风险;股份制银行、城市商业银行和非全球系统重要性银行的流动性更容易受到跨境资本流动的威胁,传统金融市场和数字金融市场的发展会强化银行流动性风险对跨境资本流动的反应,而适宜水平的银行收入结构多元化、提高市场化程度和强化金融监管强度均有助于弱化跨境资本流动对银行流动性风险的影响;经济政策不确定性强化了跨境资本流动对银行流动性风险的提升效应,特别是对于非全球系统重要性银行而言.
The Impact of Cross-Border Capital Flows on Liquidity Risk of Chinese Commercial Banks:Concurrently on the Moderating Effect Based of Economic Policy Uncertainty
Based on the samples of 42 listed commercial banks in 2010-2021,the two-way fixed effect model is used to explore the impact of cross-border capital flows on bank liquidity risk.The results show that cross-border capital flows can enhance the liquidity risk of commercial banks by improving liquidity mismatch.The liquidity of joint-stock banks,city commercial banks and non-global systemically important banks is more vulnerable to the threat of cross-border capital flows.The development of traditional and digital financial markets will strengthen the response of bank liquidity risks to cross-border capital flows,while the diversification of bank income structure at a moderate level,the improvement of marketization level and the strengthening of financial supervision will all weaken the impact of cross-border capital flows on bank liquidity risks.The economic policy uncertainty strengthens the promotion effect of cross-border capital flows on bank liquidity risk,especially for non-global systemically important banks.

Cross-border Capital FlowLiquidity RiskLiquidity MismatchEconomic Policy Uncertainty

何英、华桂宏

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南京师范大学商学院 南京,210023

南京师范大学 南京,210023

跨境资本流动 流动性风险 流动性错配 经济政策不确定性

国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金

22&ZD18019BJL033

2024

亚太经济
福建社会科学院

亚太经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.997
ISSN:1000-6052
年,卷(期):2024.(3)