首页|关税政策变动下中国农业企业对美出口行为研究

关税政策变动下中国农业企业对美出口行为研究

扫码查看
美国关税政策频繁变动给中国农业出口带来了前所未有的挑战.通过使用企业层面高频贸易数据,分析美国关税政策变动下我国农业企业出口行为及应对策略.研究表明:拟加征关税期间,大型企业更有能力通过抢运减少贸易损失;正式加征关税后,中国农业企业对美出口平均下降15.9%,多渠道企业凭借健全的贸易网络,能以更低的转移成本出口至其他国家,大幅降低对美出口.第一阶段经贸协定的签署有效降低了贸易政策不确定性,中国对美农业出口有所增加,但未完全恢复.这为中国进一步采取针对性措施帮扶农业企业应对贸易冲击,推动农业产业高质量发展提供了新的视角.
A Research on Behaviors of Chinese Agricultural Enterprises'Export to the U.S.under Tariff Policy Changes
The frequent changes in U.S.tariff policies have posed unprecedented challenges to China's agricultural exports.This paper utilizes high-frequency firm-level trade data to examine the export behaviors and coping strategies of Chinese agricultural enterprises in response to these tariff poli-cy changes.The study reveals that during the proposed tariff hike periods,large enterprises were more capable of mitigating trade losses through expedited shipments.After the formal imposition of tariffs,Chinese agricultural exports to the U.S.decreased by an average of 15.9%.Enterprises with diversified trade channels were able to reallocate their exports to other countries at lower transition costs,signifi-cantly reducing their dependence on the U.S.market.The signing of the Phase One Trade Agreement effectively reduced trade policy uncertainty,leading to a partial recovery of China's agricultural exports to the U.S.,though not to pre-tariff levels.This paper provides a new research perspective for the de-velopment of further targeted measures to support agricultural enterprises in coping with trade shocks and promoting high-quality development of agricultural industry.

Tariff Policy ChangesAgricultural ExportsCoping StrategiesFirm Heterogeneity

刘轶芳、王晓娟、谢超平

展开 >

中央财经大学经济学院 北京,102206

南京农业大学经济管理学院 南京,210095

关税政策变动 农产品出口 应对策略 企业异质性

国家自然科学基金重点项目国家社会科学基金项目国家社会科学基金项目

7193400519BTJ05920220064

2024

亚太经济
福建社会科学院

亚太经济

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.997
ISSN:1000-6052
年,卷(期):2024.(5)