首页|乌鲁木齐市居民2017-2021年高血压管理效果趋势分析

乌鲁木齐市居民2017-2021年高血压管理效果趋势分析

Trend analysis of hypertension management effectiveness among residents of Urumqi City from 2017 to 2021

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目的 了解乌鲁木齐市2017-2021年居民高血压管理情况,分析高血压管理趋势,为有效开展高血压管理提供科学依据.方法 收集2017-2021年乌鲁木齐市高血压健康管理数据,用SPSS 26.0软件对居民高血压各项管理率进行统计分析,计数资料率的比较采用x2检验,率的分析采用趋势x2检验,利用灰色预测模型(grey prediction model,GM)(1,1)拟合、预测建档率和健康管理率.结果 2017-2021年乌鲁木齐市不同区域居民的高血压建档率(x2全市趋势=37 747.9,x2城市趋势=34 668.1,x2农村趋势=3 138.6;P<0.001)和健康管理率(x2全市趋势=29 832.9,x2城市趋势=25 825.7,x农村趋势3879.3;P<0.001)整体呈上升趋势,规范管理率(x2全市趋势=2 866.4,x2城市趋势=2 490.9,x2农村趋势=453.4;P<0.001)和血压控制率达标率(x2全市趋势=269.9,x2城市趋势=216.8,x2农村趋势=86.5;P<0.001)呈下降趋势.农村高血压建档率、健康管理率、规范管理率和血压控制达标率均高于城市,差异有统计学意义(x2=578.0,x2=4 336.9,x2=4 587.2,x2=6 923.7;P<0.001).由GM(1,1)预测可知乌鲁木齐市高血压建档率和健康管理率在2022年分别达到58.21%和48.87%.结论 2017-2021年乌鲁木齐市高血压建档率和健康管理率总体呈上升趋势,规范管理率和血压控制率呈下降趋势,应加大工作力度,有效提升管理效果.
Objective To understand the hypertension management among residents of Urumqi City from 2017 to 2021,to analyze the trend of hypertension management,and to provide a scientific basis for effective hypertension management.Methods The data of hypertension health management in Urumqi City from 2017 to 2021 were collected,and the statistical analysis of each rate of hypertension management among residents was carried out using SPSS 26.0 software.The comparisons of the rates of count data were performed using the x2 test,and the analysis of the rates was performed using the trend x2 test.A grey prediction model(GM)(1,1)was used to fit and predict the rate of filing and health management.Results From 2017 to 2021,the hypertension filing rate among residents of different regions in Urumqi(x2citywide trend=37 747.9,x2urban trend=34 668.1,x2rural trend=3 138.6;P<0.001)and health management(x2citywide trend=29 832.9,x2urban trend=25825.7,x2rural trend=3 879.3;P<0.001)showed an overall increasing trend,and the rates of standardized management(x2citywide trend=2 866.4,x2urban trend=2 490.9,x2rural trend=453.4;P<0.001)and blood pressure control compliance(x2citywide trend=269.9,x2urban trend=216.8,x2rural trend=86.5;P<0.001)showed a decreasing trend.The rates of hypertension filing,health management,standardized management and blood pressure control compliance were all higher in rural than in urban areas,and the differences were statistically significant(x2=578.0,x2=4 336.9,x2=4 587.2,x2=6 923.7;P<0.001).According to the prediction of GM(1,1)the rates of hypertension filing and health management in Urumqi City could reach 58.21%and 48.87%in 2022,respectively.Conclusion The rate of hypertension filing and health management from 2017 to 2021 in Urumqi City was generally on the rise,and the rate of standardized management and blood pressure control is on the decline,so efforts should be increased to effectively improve the effectiveness of management.

HypertensionHealth managementTrend analysisGrey prediction model

孔馨雪、赵娥、孙高峰、吾尔丽卡·吾斯曼、芮宝玲

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新疆医科大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学教研室,新疆维吾尔自治区乌鲁木齐 830054

新疆维吾尔自治区乌鲁木齐市疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病防制科

高血压 健康管理 趋势分析 灰色预测模型

国家自然科学基金项目国家重点研发计划课题乌鲁木齐市疾控中心科研项目

U18031242017YFC0907203SJK2021003

2024

医学动物防制
中国民主促进会河北省委员会

医学动物防制

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.553
ISSN:1003-6245
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)
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