首页|2001-2022年武汉市晚期血吸虫病病例生存状况分析

2001-2022年武汉市晚期血吸虫病病例生存状况分析

Survival status analysis of cases with advanced schistosomiasis in Wuhan City from 2001 to 2022

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目的 研究武汉市晚期血吸虫病病例生存状况及其影响因素,为晚期血吸虫病防治提供依据.方法 采用回顾性队列研究方法,收集2001-2022年武汉市登记在册的晚期血吸虫病病例资料,采用占比对分类变量进行描述,采用Kaplan-Meier法计算晚期血吸虫病病例的生存时间,采用log-rank检验比较病例生存时间的差异,使用Cox比例风险模型分析病例生存时间的影响因素.结果 920例晚期血吸虫病病例的年龄中位数M(median)(P25~P75)为58(51~66)岁,65岁及以上病例占29.02%(267/920),小学及以下学历病例占83.26%(766/920),临床分型以腹水型为主,占70.65%(650/920).总病死率为5.24/1 000人每月,确诊病例的1年、5年、10年生存率分别为88.85%、59.40%、47.30%,中位生存时间为104.680个月(95%CI:83.250~126.749).多因素Cox回归分析结果显示,男性、高龄、腹水型病例是影响武汉市晚期血吸虫病病例生存时间的危险因素.结论 男性、高龄、腹水型血吸虫病病例死亡风险较高,应从加强健教宣传和临床救治力度等方面,采取针对性的综合措施降低武汉市晚期血吸虫病病例的死亡风险.
Objective To study the survival status and influencing factors of cases with advanced schistosomiasis in Wuhan City,and to provide a basis for the prevention and treatment of advanced schistosomiasis.Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted to collect data on registered cases with advanced schistosomiasis in Wuhan City from 2001 to 2022.A percentage ratio was used to characterize a categorical variable.Kaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate the survival time of cases with advanced schistosomiasis.Log-rank test was used to compare the differences in survival time of cases.Cox proportional hazard model was performed to analyze the influencing factors of the survival time of the cases.Results The median age M(P25-P75)of 920 cases of advanced schistosomiasis was 58(51-66)years old,with 29.02%(267/920)of cases aged 65 years old and above,83.26%(766/920)of cases with elementary school education and below.The clinical typing was dominated by ascites type in 70.65%(650/920).The overall fatality rate was 5.24/1 000 people per month.The 1 year,5 years,and 10 years survival rates for confirmed cases were 88.85%,59.40%,and 47.30%,respectively.The median survival time was 104.680 months(95%CI:83.250-126.749).The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that males,old ages,and ascitic type cases were the risk factors affecting the survival time of cases with advanced schistosomiasis in Wuhan City.Conclusion Males,old ages,and ascitic type schistosomiasis cases have a higher mortality risk.Targeted and comprehensive measures should be taken to reduce the mortality risk of cases with advanced schistosomiasis in Wuhan City,in terms of strengthening health education and publicity and clinic treatment efforts.

Advanced schistosomiasisSurvival analysisInfluencing factorWuhan CityAnalysis

王帅、贾西帅、周业华、李洋、刘聪、王浩、罗华堂

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武汉市疾病预防控制中心(血吸虫病防制所),湖北武汉 430020

晚期血吸虫病 生存分析 影响因素 武汉市 分析

湖北省卫健委联合项目武汉市卫生健康委第七批中青年医学骨干人才培养工程

WJ2019H399WH2019013

2024

医学动物防制
中国民主促进会河北省委员会

医学动物防制

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.553
ISSN:1003-6245
年,卷(期):2024.40(11)