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新疆高寒山区泥石流发育区地形和积雪演变分析

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使用数字高程模型和中国MODIS逐日无云500m积雪数据,研究了新疆高寒山区的叶尔羌河流域.根据泥石流灾害点的分布特征,该区域被划分为泥石流发育区(极高/高易发区)和非发育区(低/极低易发区),并分析了各分区的地质条件和积雪演变特征.研究结果表明:(1)泥石流发育区主要的地质条件:海拔为4 000~5 000m、坡度为8°~20°、阴坡坡向(占发育区3.10%).灾害点多集中在海拔小于3 000m、坡度为8°~20°、半阴坡的区域.(2)极高易发区的积雪覆盖百分比(SCP)在所有区域中最小(平均SCP为10.26%),年际变化最大(标准差条带面积最大).高易发区绝大部分时间SCP最高(平均为40.52%),年际变化较小.(3)泥石流发育区的积雪天数(SCD)为110.6d,长于非发育区(86.86d),积雪开始时间(SCOD)和融雪开始时间(SCMD)也较早(SCOD:339.46/342.70DOY;SCMD:97.59/102.46DOY).两个区域的SCD和SCMD均呈现减少趋势,SCOD呈增加趋势,但发育区的变化趋势较为显著,使其SCD更长.对叶尔羌河流域泥石流发育地形和积雪演变特征定量分析,以期为新疆高寒山区泥石流灾害的防治提供依据和参考.
Analysis of Topographic and Snowpack Evolution in Debris Flow-Prone Areas of Xinjiang's Alpine Region
This study investigates the Yarkant River basin in Xinjiang's alpine region using a digital elevation model and cloud-free 500m snow data from MODIS.The region was classified into two zones based on debris flow hazard characteristics:a debris flow-prone zone(very high/high susceptibility)and a non-prone zone(low/very low susceptibility).The geologic conditions and snowpack evolution characteristics of each zone were analyzed.The results show:(1)The primary geological conditions in the debris flow-prone zone are elevations:4 000~5 000m,slopes:8°~20°,and shaded slopes(3.10%of the prone zone).Hazard sites are mainly concentrated in areas with elevations below 3 000 meters,slopes of 8°~20°,and semi-shaded aspects.(2)The snow cover percentage(SCP)in the very high susceptibility zone is the lowest among all zones(average SCP:10.26%)and exhibits the greatest inter-annual variability(largest standard deviation).Conversely,the high susceptibility zone generally has the highest SCP(average SCP:40.52%)with lower inter-annual variability.(3)Snow-covered days(SCD)are longer in the debris flow-prone area(110.6 days)compared to the non-prone area(86.86 days),and both the onset date of snow cover(SCOD)and the start date of snowmelt(SCMD)are earlier in the prone area(SCOD:339.46/342.70DOY;SCMD:97.59/102.46DOY).Both zones show decreasing trends in SCD and SCMD,and an increasing trend in SCOD,with the debris flow-prone area exhibiting more pronounced changes,leading to a longer SCD.This study quantitatively analyzes the topographical and snowpack characteristics of debris flow-prone areas in the Yarkant River basin,providing a foundation for the prevention and management of debris flow disasters in Xinjiang's alpine mountains;Snowpack characteristics;Topographic variables.

debris flowsnowpack evolutionalpine regionsdigital elevation modelgeological zoningspatial and temporal patterns

谢良甫、何立斌、谢永甜、刘珊、王建虎、乔伟

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新疆大学建筑工程学院,新疆乌鲁木齐 830047

新疆土木工程技术研究中心,新疆乌鲁木齐 830047

新疆交通规划勘察设计研究院有限公司,新疆乌鲁木齐 830002

泥石流 积雪演化 高寒山区 DEM数据 地质分区 时空演化 积雪参数 地形因子

2024

应用基础与工程科学学报
中国自然资源学会

应用基础与工程科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.895
ISSN:1005-0930
年,卷(期):2024.32(6)