首页|气候变化背景下中国农业气候资源变化Ⅱ.西南地区农业气候资源时空变化特征

气候变化背景下中国农业气候资源变化Ⅱ.西南地区农业气候资源时空变化特征

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基于1961-2007年中国西南地区88个气象台站的地面观测资料,结合统计方法和GIS软件,分析了全年及温度生长期内农业气候资源的时空变化特征.结果表明:1961-2007年,西南地区年平均气温呈上升趋势,平均增速为0.18℃·(10 a)-1;温度生长期内≥10 ℃和≥15℃积温均呈增加趋势,平均增速分别为55.3 ℃·d·(10 a)-1和37℃·d·(10 a)-1.全区年日照时数呈现由西向东逐渐减少的特征,且东部的减少趋势较西部更显著;温度生长期内日照时数整体呈增加趋势,但空间差异较大.全区降水资源总体减少,年降水量和温度生长期内降水量的平均下降速率分别为10 mm·(10 a)-1和8 mm·(10 a)-1.全区年参考作物蒸散量普遍降低,其减幅小于年降水量的变化趋势,约53%的站点温度生长期内参考作物蒸散量减少.
Changes of China agricultural climate resources under the background of climate change.Ⅱ.Spatiotemporal change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in Southwest China.
Based on the 1961-2007 ground observation data from 88 meteorological stations in Southwest China, and by using statistical methods and GIS software, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal change characteristics of agricultural climate resources in this region in the whole year and during temperature-defined growth period. In 1961-2007, the annual mean temperature in the region showed an increasing trend, with the increment averaged 0.18 Tl ? (10 a)-1. The ≥10 ℃, and ≥15 ℃ accumulated temperature during temperature-defined growth period also showed an increasing trend, with the increment averaged 55.5℃·d·(10a)-1 and 37℃ ? d ?( 10 a) -1, respectively. The annual sunshine hours decreased gradually from west to east, and the decreasing trend was more significant in eastern than in western region. The sunshine hours during temperature-defined growth period showed an overall increasing trend, and the spatial difference was great. The precipitation resource had an overall decrease, with the decrement in whole year and during temperature-defined growth period averaged 10 mm ? (10 a)-1 and 8 mm ? (10 a)-1, respectively. The annual reference crop evapotranspiration generally decreased, but the decrement was less than that of annual precipitation. The reference crop evapotranspiration during temperature-defined growth period within about 53% meteorological stations decreased.

代姝玮、杨晓光、赵孟、李勇、王文峰、刘志娟

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中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京100193

贵州省桐梓县气象局,贵州桐梓563200

贵州省气象局科技减灾处,贵阳550002

国家气象中心,北京100081

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西南地区 农业气候资源 气候倾向率

国家重点基础研究发展规划(973计划)国家科技基础性工作专项资金项目公益性行业(农业)科研专项

2010CB9515022007FY120100200903003

2011

应用生态学报
中国生态学学会 中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所

应用生态学报

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:2.114
ISSN:1001-9332
年,卷(期):2011.22(2)
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