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基于变分模态分解的暖通空调短期负荷自动预测方法

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常规的暖通空调短期负荷自动预测方法以热负荷预测为主,忽视了冷负荷,影响短期负荷预测的准确性.因此,设计了基于变分模态分解的暖通空调短期负荷自动预测方法.首先将室外干球温度、风速、太阳辐射对预测时刻负荷的影响作为输入变量,构建暖通空调短期负荷变分模态分解自动预测模型,以确保模型预测的精准度.然后预测暖通空调短期冷热负荷序列,将室内外环境因素、建筑结构、设备负荷、历史数据考虑在内,综合预测暖通空调短期负荷,以满足负荷预测需求.最后通过对比实验,验证了该方法的负荷预测准确性更高,能够应用于实际生活.
Automatic Short-Term Load Prediction Method for HVAC Based on Variational Mode Decomposition
The conventional automatic short-term load forecasting methods for HVAC mainly focus on heat load forecasting,ignoring cooling load and affecting the accuracy of short-term load forecasting.Therefore,a short-term load automatic prediction method for HVAC based on variational mode decomposition was designed.Firstly,the impact of outdoor dry bulb temperature,wind speed,and solar radiation on the predicted load is used as input variables to construct an HVAC short-term load variational mode decomposition automatic prediction model,ensuring the accuracy of the model prediction.Then predict the short-term HVAC cooling and heating load sequence,taking into account indoor and outdoor environmental factors,building structure,equipment load,and historical data,to comprehensively predict the short-term HVAC load to meet the demand for load forecasting.Finally,through comparative experiments,it was verified that the method has higher accuracy in load forecasting and can be applied in practical life.

variational mode decompositionHVACshort-term loadautomatic prediction methods

陈恒波、陈霞

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济南热力集团有限公司,山东济南 250002

济南热电集团有限公司,山东济南 250000

变分模态分解 暖通空调 短期负荷 自动预测方法

2024

自动化应用
重庆西南信息有限公司

自动化应用

影响因子:0.156
ISSN:1674-778X
年,卷(期):2024.65(11)