首页|Multi-scenario Simulation of the Impact of Land Use Change on the Ecosystem Service Value in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou Metropolitan Area,China

Multi-scenario Simulation of the Impact of Land Use Change on the Ecosystem Service Value in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou Metropolitan Area,China

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As the most economically developed metropolitan area in China's Yangtze River Delta,the rapid changing land use patterns of Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou(Su-Xi-Chang)metropolitan area have profound impacts on the ecosystem service value(ESV).Based on the patterns of land use change and the ESV change in Su-Xi-Chang metropolitan area from 2000 to 2020,we set up four scenarios:nat-ural development scenario,urban development scenario,arable land protection scenario and ecological protection scenario,and simu-lated the impact of land use changes on the ESV in these scenarios.The results showed that:1)the area of built-up land in the Su-Xi-Chang metropolitan area increased significantly from 2000 to 2020,and the area of other types of land decreased.Arable land under-went the highest transfer-out area,and was primarily converted into built-up land.The total ESV of Su-Xi-Chang metropolitan area in-creased initially then declined from 2000-2020,and the value of almost all individual ecosystem services decreased.2)Population dens-ity,GDP per area,night lighting intensity,and road network density can negatively impact the ESV.3)The total ESV loss under the nat-ural development and urban development scenarios was high,and the expansion of the built-up land and the drastic shrinkage of the ar-able land contributed to the ESV decline under both scenarios.The total ESV under arable land protection and ecological protection scenarios increases,and therefore these scenarios are suitable for future land use optimization in Su-Xi-Chang.This study could provide a certain reference for land use planning and allocation,and offer guidance for the rational allocation of land resources.

multiple scenariosland use simulationecosystem service value(ESV)Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation(PLUS)modelSuzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou(Su-Xi-Chang)metropolitan area,China

WANG Bin、HU Chunguang、ZHANG Yushuo

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Department of Tourism Management,Soochow University,Suzhou 215123,China

Academy of Culture and Tourism Research,Soochow University,Suzhou 215123,China

School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Huazhong University of Science and Tech-nology,Wuhan 430074,China

Hubei Engineering and Technology Research Center of Urbanization,Wuhan 430074,China

Fac-ulty of Culture Tourism,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006,China

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Humanities and Social Sciences Foundation of Soochow UniversityNational Social Science Foundation of China

22XM200823BGL168

2024

中国地理科学(英文版)
中国科学院长春地理研究所

中国地理科学(英文版)

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.754
ISSN:1002-0063
年,卷(期):2024.34(1)
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