首页|Evolution and Determinants of Population Agglomeration in Less De-veloped Metropolitan Areas:A Case Study of the Taiyuan Metropolit-an Area,China

Evolution and Determinants of Population Agglomeration in Less De-veloped Metropolitan Areas:A Case Study of the Taiyuan Metropolit-an Area,China

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It is of importance to enhance the urban areas'capacity for population aggregation in underdeveloped regions,aiming to rec-tify the imbalanced and insufficient pattern of economic development in China.Taking the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA)in cent-ral China as a case study,this paper examines the evolutionary process and characteristics of population agglomeration from 2000 to 2020,and identifies factors associated with agglomeration and their spatial effects.The findings indicated that:1)against the back-ground of sustained population shrinkage in the provincial area,the TMA showed a demographic trend of steady increase,albeit with a decelerated growth rate.In the metropolitan area,urban population size continued to grow rapidly,whereas the rural areas endured sus-tained losses.Disparities in city size continued to widen,and the polarization of concentrated population in the core cities kept increas-ing.2)Agglomerations in both secondary and service industries had significant positive effects on local population agglomeration,with the former effect being stronger.Regional economic development,government fiscal expenditure,and financial advancement all con-tributed to facilitating local population clustering.From a spatial spillover perspective,service agglomeration and financial develop-ment promoted population agglomeration in surrounding areas.Conversely,fiscal expenditure inhibited such agglomeration.As for in-dustrial agglomeration and regional economic development,their spatial spillover effects were non-significant.The results obtained re-veal several policy implications aimed at enhancing the population agglomeration capacity of the metropolitan area in underdeveloped regions during the new era.

population agglomerationpopulation shrinkagespatial spillover effectsTaiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA),China

QIN Zhiqin、LIANG Ye、AN Shuwei、DOU Yongjing

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School of Economics and Management,Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030031,China

School of Urban Economics and Public Af-fairs,Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing 100070,China

School of Geography Science,Taiyuan Normal Uni-versity,Jinzhong 030619,China

Humanities and Social Sciences Fund of the Ministry of Education of ChinaPlanning Project for Philosophy and Social Sciences of Shanxi ProvinceSpecial Foundation for Science and Development of Shanxi Province

20YJC7901072021YJ040202204031401052

2024

10.1007/s11769-024-1447-4

中国地理科学(英文版)
中国科学院长春地理研究所

中国地理科学(英文版)

CSTPCD
影响因子：0.754
ISSN：1002-0063
年,卷(期)：2024.34(4)
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