能源革命下的电力系统范式转换分析
Analysis of Power System Paradigm Shift under Energy Revolution
周勤勇 1李根兆 1秦晓辉 1施浩波 1陈文静 1龚浩岳1
作者信息
- 1. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京 100192
- 折叠
摘要
科学革命的本质是范式转换,将此基本科学哲学观点应用于能源革命,"碳达峰、碳中和"目标下,能源革命的本质是发展范式的转换,即由从低能量密度向高能量密度转型升级的范式,由低环保向高环保的能源利用范式转换.在能源发展范式转换下,传统电力系统将逐渐呈现高比例新能源电力系统特征,系统面临经济性、安全稳定水平、充裕度下降,发展空间受限等危机,且原有电源集约化、电网等级高压化、同步电网扩大化规则构成的规模化发展范式无法化解危机.原有范式失效,规则逐渐松弛,分布式电源、微电网、大容量储能等发展要素驱动下的技术创新模式的转变将会引导建立新的发展范式,新的发展范式下建立的电力系统即为新型电力系统.
Abstract
The essence of scientific revolution is the paradigm shift,which can be applied to the energy revolution.Under the goals of"carbon peak and carbon neutralization",the essence of energy revolution is the shift of development paradigm,that is,the transformation and upgrading paradigm from low energy density to high energy density,and the energy utilization paradigm shift from low environmental protection to high environment protection.Under the paradigm shift of energy development,the traditional power system is gradually appearing a power system with high proportion of new energy,which is facing risks such as decrease in economy,stability and adequacy,and limited development space.However,the original development paradigm,namely intensive power source development,high-voltage power grid and synchronous grid expansion cannot reduce the risks.The original paradigm will fail and the rules will gradually slack.Driven by such development factors as distributed power generation,microgrid and large-capacity energy storage,the transformation of technological innovation mode will lead to the establishment of a new development paradigm.The power system established under the new development paradigm is the new power system.
关键词
科学革命/范式转换/新能源/新型电力系统Key words
scientific revolution/paradigm shift/new energy/new power system引用本文复制引用
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据