考虑耦合作用的电网业务组合投资优化
Optimization of Power Grid Business Portfolio Investment Considering Coupling Effects
王永利 1马子奔 1秦雨萌 1卢艳超 2蔺媛3
作者信息
- 1. 华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206
- 2. 国网经济技术研究院有限公司,北京 102209
- 3. 华北电力大学新能源学院,北京 102206
- 折叠
摘要
电网业务正处于传统业务向新兴业务变革的关键时期,由于电网业务发展的多样性,应考虑业务的相互影响,准确量化业务投资价值.分析业务间耦合作用,构建业务耦合作用评价体系,并通过Choquet模糊积分量化了电网业务耦合程度,构建适应未来发展新环境的电网业务投资价值评价体系,构建了考虑耦合作用的电网业务组合投资优化模型.在算例中,包含综合能源业务、储能业务、电动汽车业务的组合投资价值最高,为 2.024,其中,业务基础投资价值为 1.870,耦合投资价值为 0.154.通过算例分析验证了考虑电网业务耦合作用的必要性与投资优化模型的适用性,支撑电网公司制定电网业务组合投资决策.
Abstract
Power grid business is in a critical period of transformation from traditional business to emerging business.Due to the diversity of grid business development,the interplay between businesses should be considered to accurately quantify the investment value of businesses.This paper analyzes the coupling effect between businesses,constructs an evaluation system of business coupling effects to quantify the degree of grid business coupling through Choquet fuzzy integral,constructs an evaluation system of grid business investment value suitable for the new environment of future development,and constructs an optimization model of grid business portfolio investment taking into account the coupling effects.In the case study,the portfolio investment value,covering the comprehensive energy business,energy storage business and electric vehicle business,is 2.024,ranking the highest,among which,the basic investment value of business is 1.87 and the coupling investment value is 0.154.The case study verifies the necessity to consider the grid business coupling and the applicability of the investment optimization model.The results of this study can provide a support for the grid company to make the grid business portfolio investment decision.
关键词
电网业务/耦合作用/Choquet模糊积分/投资价值/投资优化Key words
power grid business/coupling/Choquet fuzzy integral/investment value/investment optimization引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA081)
国家电网科技项目(SGJNDK00JBJS2100255)
出版年
2024
国家科技期刊平台
NSTL
万方数据