中国电力2024,Vol.57Issue(10) :57-68.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202312024

融合群体智慧的分布式智能电网高效发展管理策略

Effective Development and Management Strategy for Distributed Smart Grids Based on Collective Intelligence

于宗超 文明 李湘华 谢欣涛 杨洪明
中国电力2024,Vol.57Issue(10) :57-68.DOI:10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202312024

融合群体智慧的分布式智能电网高效发展管理策略

Effective Development and Management Strategy for Distributed Smart Grids Based on Collective Intelligence

于宗超 1文明 1李湘华 2谢欣涛 1杨洪明3
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作者信息

  • 1. 国网湖南省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,湖南长沙 410029;能源互联网供需运营湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙 410029
  • 2. 能源互联网供需运营湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙 410029;国网湖南省电力有限公司信息通信分公司,湖南长沙 410029
  • 3. 能源互联网供需运营湖南省重点实验室,湖南长沙 410029;长沙理工大学电气与信息工程学院,湖南长沙 410114
  • 折叠

摘要

针对不同资源禀赋下分布式智能电网建设策略难以精准投资的问题,提出了一种融合群体智慧的分布式智能电网高效发展管理策略.首先,依托海量分布式智能电网发展规划数据,利用Ward凝层聚类,从运行、规划及发展 3 个方面构建分布式智能电网发展最优指标集;其次,结合指标类型拟合其概率分布函数,确定各指标阈值区间,实现指标的客观打分;然后,构建基于群体智慧的分布式智能电网发展精准投资评估体系,利用指标横纵差异度驱动群体智慧重新赋权,实现分布式智能电网建设策略的合理评估;最后,通过计算发展规划投入产出比形成闭环反馈,实现分布式智能电网高效发展管理.通过对某省10000 组发展规划数据的分析评估,验证了所建体系的合理性.

Abstract

To overcome the challenge of accurately investing in the construction strategies of distributed smart grids under different resource endowments,an efficient development and management strategy for distributed smart grids based on collective intelligence was proposed.Firstly,relying on development planning data of massive distributed smart grids,the optimal index set for the development of distributed smart grids was constructed from three aspects of operation,planning,and development by using Ward agglomerative hierarchical clustering.Secondly,the corresponding probability distribution function was fitted according to the type of each index,and the index threshold interval was determined to achieve the objective scoring of each index.Then,the precise investment evaluation system for the development of distributed smart grids based on collective intelligence was constructed,and the horizontal and vertical difference degree of indexes was used to drive the re-weighting of collective intelligence,so as to achieve the rational evaluation of distributed smart grid construction strategy.Finally,the closed-loop feedback was formed by calculating the input-to-output ratio of the development planning,and efficient development and management of distributed smart grids was achieved.The rationality of the proposed system was verified by analyzing the development planning data of 10 000 groups in a province.

关键词

群体智慧/分布式智能电网/发展管理策略/数据驱动/评估体系

Key words

collective intelligence/distributed smart grids/development and management strategy/data drive/evaluation system

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基金项目

国家电网有限公司科技项目(1400-202323326A-1-1-ZN)

湖南省科技创新平台与人才计划(2019TP1053)

出版年

2024
中国电力
国网能源研究院 中国电机工程学会

中国电力

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.463
ISSN:1004-9649
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