首页|基于LUCC强度图谱的耕地时空演变模式研究

基于LUCC强度图谱的耕地时空演变模式研究

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文章采用Intensity Map模型(IM模型)构建土地利用变化强度图谱,从绝对强度和相对强度角度分析了广东省耕地"非农化""非粮化"时空演变模式,为新时期耕地保护决策提供支撑。结果表明:①耕地在向建设用地转化过程中呈现系统倾向性特征,特别是工矿与交通运输用地以明显高于平均水平的绝对转入强度从耕地获得转入;②耕地在向园地、林地和坑塘水面转化过程中呈现绝对倾向性特征,其中转为园地的经济收益比较效应突出;③广东省耕地流入过程中,以林地、草地为主,呈现倾向性特征;④广东省2005-2023年耕地空间变化整体呈现"全域快速减少→全域总量平衡→沿海区域减少→全域稳中有增"特征。建议持续强化耕地用途管制、耕地种粮补贴激励政策、耕地保护跨区域补偿等制度顶层设计,正向激励与反向约束相结合,推动广东省耕地总量动态平衡。
A Study on Spatiotemporal Evolution Patterns of Cultivated Land Based on LUCC Intensity Chromatogram
Utilized the Intensity Map model(IM model)to construct an intensity chromatogram of land use change,the article analyzed the spatiotemporal evolution pattern of the"non-agricultural"and"non-grain"of cultivated land in Guangdong province from the perspective of absolute and relative intensity,which provides support for decision-making regarding cultivated land protection in the new period.The results show that:①The cultivated land showed a characteristic of systematic tendency while converted into construction land,especially into the industrial,mining,and transport land with significantly higher absolute transfer intensity levels than the average.②The cultivated land showed a characteristic of absolute tendency while converted into garden land,forest land,and pond,among which the comparative effectiveness of economic benefits was particularly outstanding when converted into garden land.③The inflow process of cultivated land in Guangdong province was dominated by woodland and grassland and showed tendentious characteristics.④The overall spatial change of cultivated land in Guangdong province from 2005 to 2023 can be orderly characterized by"whole region rapid reduction period,whole region aggregate equilibrium period,coastal areas decrease period,whole region stable growth period".The paper suggests strengthening the top-level design of systems such as cultivated land use control,cultivated land subsidy incentives,and cross-regional compensation for cultivated land protection,that is combining positive incentives and negative constraints,to promote the dynamic balance of the total amount of cultivated land in Guangdong province.

land use/cover changeabsolute intensityrelative intensitycultivated landGuangdong province

朱灵伟、陈晨、彭云飞、钱竞

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深圳市规划国土发展研究中心,广东 深圳 518000

土地利用/覆被变化 绝对强度 相对强度 耕地 广东省

2024

中国国土资源经济
中国地质矿产经济学会 中国国土资源经济研究院

中国国土资源经济

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.634
ISSN:1672-6995
年,卷(期):2024.37(12)