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中美量子计算领域专利对比分析及发展预测

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本文旨在分析中美两国在量子计算领域的专利发展趋势,并通过灰色预测模型对技术创新能力进行预测评估,为科技资源的优化配置提供参考.研究重点包括2017年至2023年量子计算领域的专利申请趋势、技术布局及其质量评估,通过定量分析揭示中美两国在量子计算领域的竞争态势.结果表明,中国在2026年可能超越美国的专利申请数量,但在授权数量和质量上仍存在显著差距.研究发现,中国的专利申请量增长迅速,显示出强劲的发展潜力,但整体专利质量仍需提升,尤其是在企业创新能力方面.根据研究结果,建议中国在财政支持、人才培养和产学研合作等方面加大力度,以推动量子计算产业的进一步发展.
Comparative Analysis and Development Forecast of Patents in the Quantum Computing Field Between China and the United States
This paper aims to analyze the patent development trends in the field of quantum computing between China and the United States,and to predict and assess technological innovation capabilities using a grey prediction model,providing insights for the optimization of technology resource allocation. The research focuses on the patent application trends,technological layout,and quality assessment in the field of quantum computing from 2017 to 2023,revealing the competitive landscape between China and the United States through quantitative analysis. The results indicate that China may surpass the United States in the number of patent applications by 2026,but there remains a significant gap in the number and quality of granted patents. The study finds that Chinese patent application volume is growing rapidly,demonstrating strong development potential,yet the overall patent quality still needs improvement,particularly in terms of corporate innovation capabilities. Based on the research findings,it is recommended that China increase efforts in financial support,talent cultivation,and strengthening industry-university-research cooperation to further promote the development of quantum computing industry.

quantum computingpatent developmentgrey prediction modeltechnological competitionnational strategic planning

许龙、沈晶晶

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国家药品监督管理局执业药师资格认证中心,北京 100061

国家知识产权局专利局专利审查协作北京中心,北京 100160

量子计算 专利发展 灰色预测模型 技术竞争 国家战略规划

2024

中国发明与专利
知识产权出版社,中国发明协会

中国发明与专利

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.15
ISSN:1672-6081
年,卷(期):2024.21(12)