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黄河中游河口镇至龙门水文站区间降雨径流变化特征分析

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分析黄河三大洪水来源区之一的河口镇至龙门水文站区间(以下简称河龙区间)降雨径流变化特征对黄河防汛抗旱具有重要意义.采用数理统计、滑动平均、完全集合经验模态分解(CEEMDAN)等方法分析得出河龙区间多年平均降雨量457 mm,多年平均天然径流量45.93亿m3;20 世纪 90 年代前降水量整体呈减少态势,20 世纪 90 年代后呈增多趋势,天然径流量具有4 a、9 a的周期性波动规律,整体呈减少趋势;平均年降雨径流系数为0.084,受区域水土保持建设、生态环境改善等因素影响,河龙区间年降雨径流系数呈较明显的减小趋势,从20 世纪 50 年代的 0.13左右减少到 21 世纪的 0.05 左右.受夏季蒸发量大、农作物灌溉及植物蒸腾影响,6-10 月月降雨径流系数较 11 月至次年 5 月小.河龙区间场次洪水降雨径流系数变化很大.
Analysis on the characteristics of rainfall and runoff variation in the section from Hekou Town to Longmen Hydrological Station in the Middle Reaches of the Yellow River
Analyzing the characteristics of rainfall and runoff changes in the section from Hekou Town to Longmen Hydrological Station(Hekou-Longmen section),one of three major flood source areas of the Yellow River,is of great significance for flood control and drought resistance.This article uses methods such as mathematical statistics,moving average,and complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition(CCEEMDAN)to analyze and obtain the annual average rainfall of 457 mm and the annual average natural runoff of 4.593 billion m3 in the Hekou-Longmen section;Before the 1990s,the overall precipitation showed a decreasing trend,but after 1990s,it showed an increasing trend.The natural runoff has a periodic fluctuation pattern of 4 a and 9 a,showing a decreasing trend overall;The average annual rainfall runoff coefficient is 0.084.Affected by regional water and soil conservation construction,ecological environment improvement,and other factors,the annual rainfall-runoff coefficient in the Hekou-Longmen section shows a significant decreasing trend,from around 0.13 in the 1950s to around 0.05 in the 21st century.Due to the high summer evaporation,crop irrigation,and plant transpiration,the monthly rainfall-runoff coefficient from June to October is lower than that from November to May of the following year.The rainfall-runoff coefficient of each flood varies greatly in the Hekou-Longmen section.

Hekou-Longmen Section in the Yellow Riverrainfall-runoff coefficientperiodic fluctuationstrend changes

颜亦琪、陶新、任立良、刘珂、韩作强

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黄河水利委员会水文局,郑州 450003

河海大学水灾害防御全国重点实验室,南京 210098

黄河河龙区间 降雨径流系数 周期波动 趋势变化

2024

中国防汛抗旱
中国水利学会

中国防汛抗旱

影响因子:0.286
ISSN:1673-9264
年,卷(期):2024.34(12)