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行业配置、聚类程度与基金业绩

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基金市场是过去20多年市场经济国家发展最迅速、规模最大的大众金融投资工具,基金的筛选难度已经不亚于股票。然而,关于基金的研究多数是基金业绩的归因分析,鲜有从基金经理、基金市场和投资者综合的角度研究基金风险,基金筛选策略的研究更是少之又少。本文首先以Feldman等[8]构建的美国主动型管理基金市场模型为基础,结合复杂网络方法,提出了适合度量中国基金市场发展程度的行业配置聚类程度指标,并运用基金经理行业配置聚类程度量化了基金经理努力程度。在此基础上,提出基金经理和投资者的优化问题,并推导出均衡策略下基金市场行业配置聚类程度和基金经理努力程度与基金收益的数量关系。然后运用递归估计方法进行实证分析。最后,在理论推导和实证分析的基础上,提出了一个基于基金经理努力程度的基金筛选策略,完善了"理论+实证+策略"的投资组合分析框架。本文的研究结果亦可为FOF投资策略的选择提供参考。
Industry Allocation,Clustering Degree and Fund Performance
Fund market is the most rapid development and largest financial investment tool of market economy countries in the past 20 years,the difficulty of fund selection is no less than the stock.However,most of the research on fund is the attribution analysis of fund performance,and few researches on fund risk from the comprehensive perspective of fund manager,fund market and investors.The research on fund selection strategy is even less.Firstly,based on the market model of US active fund management industry constructed by Feld-man et al.(2020),combined with the complex network method,the industrial allocation clustering index suit-able for measuring the development level of Chinese fund market is integrated,and the industrial allocation data are used to quantify the efforts of fund managers.On this basis,the optimization problem of fund managers and investors is proposed,and the quantitative relationship in equilibrium between industrial allocation clustering index and fund managers'efforts,as well as that between the index and fund returns is derived.Then the recursive degradation estimation method is used for empirical analysis.Lastly,based on theoretical derivation and empirical analysis,a fund selection strategy is proposed based on the efforts of fund managers,which improves the portfolio analysis framework of"Theory+Empirical+Strategy".The results of this paper can also provide reference for the research of FOF investment strategy.

ndustry allocationdegree of clusteringbalanced strategyfund selected

周骐、李仲飞、邓柏峻

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华南理工大学工商管理学院,广东广州 510641

南方科技大学金融系,广东深圳 518055

深圳市创新投资集团有限公司,广东深圳 518048

行业配置 聚类程度 均衡策略 基金筛选

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目广东省哲学社会科学规划项目广东省自然科学基金项目

719914747220110671903036GD23XGL0932023A1515010597

2024

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.938
ISSN:1003-207X
年,卷(期):2024.32(2)
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