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双积分政策下汽车企业合作创新演化博弈分析

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为适应我国新旧动能转换背景下汽车产业发展的需求,五部委在全国范围内实施了双积分政策,然而,单一的市场机制尚未能达到政府预期,基于此,本文构建了政府不监管和实施监管时,纯电动车企和燃油车企的合作创新动态演化博弈模型,分析了 NEV积分比例、标准车型积分计算方法和奖惩机制等对汽车企业合作创新行为演化的影响。研究发现:双积分政策下,适度提高NEV积分比例要求,有利于促进纯电动车企对市场的合作需求做出快速响应,避免由于反应迟钝导致的市场份额损失;充分考虑各因素间的联动性,适度提高标准车型乘性系数有助于创新主体向积极合作方向演化,从而促进纯电动车的市场扩散。监管机制和双积分政策复合牵引下,适度加大奖惩力度可以有效促进创新主体向积极合作的方向演化,且惩罚力度的促进效果更为明显。
Evolutionary Game Analysis of Cooperative Innovation of Automakers under Dual-credit Policy
In order to adapt to the development of the automobile industry under the conversion of new and old kinetic energy in China,the five ministries have implemented dual-credit policy.However,a single market mechanism has not met what government expects.Therefore,a dynamic evolutionary game model of coopera-tive innovation of blade electric vehicle companies and oil-fueled automotive companies is constructed under or without government supervision.The impacts of factors such as NEV credit ratio,standard vehicle calculation method,and reward and punishment mechanism on the evolution of cooperative innovation are analyzed.The research shows that under the dual-credit policy,appropriately raising the requirement of NEV credit ratio helps blade electric vehicle companies quickly respond to market cooperation needs,which avoids the loss of market share caused by slow response.Besides,the correlation among various factors should be fully considered.Enhancing multiplicative coefficient contributes to innovative subjects evolving in the direction of active coopera-tion,which promotes the market diffusion of blade electric vehicles.Under the combined guidance of govern-ment supervision and dual-credit policy,moderately enhancing degree of awards and punishments can effectively encourage innovative subjects to evolve in the direction of active cooperation.Also,promoting func-tion of punishment mechanism is more powerful.

blade electric vehicledual-credit policyevolutionary gamecooperative innovation

赵丹、严啸宸、汪和平、李艳

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安徽工业大学管理科学与工程学院,安徽 马鞍山 243032

纯电动车 双积分政策 演化博弈 合作创新

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金教育部人文社会科学研究项目安徽省高等学校优秀青年科研项目

718720027220400119YJCZH0912023AH030035

2024

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.938
ISSN:1003-207X
年,卷(期):2024.32(4)
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