民族地区经济-社会-治理系统耦合协调效应评价与系统动力学仿真——以新疆为例
Evaluation of Coupling Coordination Effect of Economic-Society-Governance System in Minority Regions:Take Xinjiang as An Example
虎海峰 1孙勇 2刘明凯 3刘宝印 4樊杰5
作者信息
- 1. 中国科学院大学经济与管理学院,北京 100049;新疆社会科学院民族研究所,新疆维吾尔自治区 乌鲁木齐 830011
- 2. 广州大学公共管理学院,广东广州 510006
- 3. 中国地质大学(北京)地球科学与资源学院,北京 100083
- 4. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190
- 5. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京 100101
- 折叠
摘要
民族地区经济社会高质量发展是我国高质量发展的重要组成部分,为科学评价民族地区经济-社会-治理系统耦合协调效应,辅助区域经济社会高质量发展决策,以新疆为例,选取2013-2020年各系统细分指标面板数据,运用熵权法、耦合协调模型、系统动力学等方法,量化评估新疆地区经济发展、社会发展和政府治理发展水平,并进一步测算系统间耦合协调度.结果表明:新疆地区经济发展、社会发展及政府治理水平逐步提升,三者呈现明显耦合互动关系,经济-社会-治理系统耦合协调效应总体呈现上升趋势.推进新疆地区的可持续发展应以社会稳定和长治久安总目标为统领,提高生产生活环境质量;以经济发展为基础,提升区域经济竞争力;以政府治理为手段,优化区域发展环境.
Abstract
High-quality economic and social development in ethnic minority areas is an important part of China's high-quality development.In order to scientifically evaluate the coupling and coordination effect of economic-social-governance system in ethnic minority areas and assist the decision-making of regional economic and social high-quality development,taking Xinjiang as an example,the subdivision index panel data of each system from 2013 to 2020 are selected,and the methods such as entropy method,coupling coordination model and system dynamics are used.The development level of economic development,social development and government governance in Xinjiang is quantitatively evaluated,and the degree of coupling and coordination between systems is further measured.The results show that the level of economic development,social development and govern-ment governance in Xinjiang is gradually improved,the three show obvious coupling interaction,and the coupling coordination effect of economic-social-governance system shows an upward trend as a whole.The promotion of sustainable development in Xinjiang should be guided by the general goal of social stability and long-term stability,enhance the quality of production and living environment,enhance regional economic competitiveness on the basis of economic development,and take government governance as a means to optimize the regional development environment.
关键词
民族地区/经济发展/社会发展/政府治理/耦合/高质量发展Key words
Xinjiang/economic development/social development/governance/coupling/high quality development引用本文复制引用
基金项目
第二次青藏高原综合科学考察(2019QZKK0406)
新时代党的治疆方略与实践研究课题(2022ZJFLZ05)
新疆社会科学基金重点项目(22AZD006)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据