首页|碳交易驱动下的政企碳减排演化博弈分析

碳交易驱动下的政企碳减排演化博弈分析

扫码查看
碳交易作为减排政策中最有效率的市场手段之一,对企业碳减排有着深远的影响.本文基于系统动力学理论,在公众意愿等约束变量下,构建了碳交易驱动下的政企碳减排演化博弈模型.以湖北省为例,通过对政企行为演化路径的可视化分析,探讨了碳交易发展过程中双方可能存在的博弈状况,并针对性地给出相应策略.研究结果表明:在碳市场发展过程中,政企碳减排博存在几种不同的博弈结果.针对(作为,减排)的博弈均衡,需激励企业采取减排措施的积极性,延长企业减排的"窗口期".采取动态惩罚和动态补贴等策略,可以杜绝政企博弈过程中的周期性行为模式;通过降低企业碳排放和调控碳价格促使策略组合从(不作为,不减排)向(作为,减排)转变,并提高后者的比例.研究还发现,初始意愿在政企碳减排博弈中能够发挥作用,高的初始意愿更有利于达成(作为,减排)的策略组合.研究结果对碳交易过程中的企业减排策略和政府监管行为具有较强的启示,为碳市场的发展提供了参考.
Evolutionary Game Analysis of Government and Enterprises Carbon-reduction under the Driven of Carbon Trading
Carbon trading,as one of the most efficient market means in emission reduction policy,has a profound impact on enterprise carbon-reduction.Based on system dynamic theory,within the constraints of public willingness,an evolutionary game model of government and enterprise carbon-reduction is constructed under the driven of carbon trading.Taking Hubei Province as an example,through the visual analysis of govern-ment and enterprise behavior,possible game situations between government and enterprises in the development of carbon trading are discussed,and the corresponding strategies are given.The results show that there are several different game results in the development of carbon market.For the game equilibrium of(action,carbon-reduction),it is necessary to encourage enterprises to take emission reduction measures and prolong the"window period"of carbon reduction.Adopting the strategies of dynamic punishment and dynamic subsidy can eliminate the periodic behavior pattern in the game between government and enterprises.By reducing carbon emission and regulating carbon price,the strategy combination can be changed from(inaction,no reduction)to(action,carbon-reduction).The proportion of the latter combination should be increased.The initial willing-ness is very important in the game between government and enterprises.The higher initial willingness is more conducive to achieve(action,carbon-reduction)strategy combination.The conclusions have strong implica-tions for enterprise carbon reduction strategies and government action in the process of carbon trading,and provide a reference for the development of carbon market.

carbon tradingcarbon reductionevolutionary gamestable strategy

方国昌、何宇、田立新

展开 >

南京财经大学应用数学学院,江苏 南京 210023

南京财经大学经济学院,江苏 南京 210023

江苏大学数学科学学院,江苏 镇江 212013

碳交易 碳减排 演化博弈 稳定策略

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家社会科学基金重大项目江苏省碳达峰碳中和重大科技示范项目

722740927177407722&ZD136BE2022612

2024

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.938
ISSN:1003-207X
年,卷(期):2024.32(5)