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考虑市场化开发的产业共性技术供给决策研究

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借鉴经典AJ模型思想,建立了两家企业市场化开发阶段进行古诺竞争的共性技术供给决策的两阶段博弈模型,揭示企业双方面对独立研究(情形Ⅰ)、研究/模仿(情形Ⅱ)及联合研究(情形Ⅲ)模式下的最优供给决策及影响因素.研究结果表明:共性技术的技术属性是偏基础性还是偏应用性,对企业共性技术供给决策有重要影响;对于情形Ⅰ与情形Ⅱ,若基础性特征明显,企业将选择情形Ⅰ,若应用性特征明显,则选择情形Ⅱ;对于情形Ⅰ与情形Ⅲ、情形Ⅱ和情形Ⅲ,共性技术的技术属性和联合研究协同度是影响企业共性技术供给决策的基本因素.根据共性技术的技术属性基础性、应用性及联合研究协同度,建立四象限分析矩阵,探讨了不同情形下共性技术供给决策.此外,情形Ⅰ模式下,技术属性对双方企业利润产生先增后减的影响,政府补贴弱化了共性技术研发投入成本对利润的负向影响,但并未改变影响轨迹.
Research on the Supply Decision of Industrial General Purpose Technologies Considering Market-oriented Development
General Purpose Technologies(GPTs)were seen as the development engines of industries and whole countries.However,as a pre-competition technology,GPTs needs market-oriented development in order to realize its potential value after supply.Due to the characteristics of long R&D cycle,continuous invest-ment and hard to monopolize revenue,GPTs are liable to fall into"market failure"and"organization failure"of supply.In addition,in the stage of market-oriented development,it may face the"system failure"and"market failure",and even faces the multiple failure phenomenon of of interlacing with multiple failure types.How to alleviate GPTs R&D failures has become an important issue to be studied and solved.In order to avoid the pos-sible failures in the process of GPTs R&D,it is necessary to combine GPTs supply with market-oriented development.The classic AJ Model is used for reference,the link between the supply and market-oriented development of GPTs is highlighted,and a two-stage game model of GPTs supply with Cournot competition between enterprises in the stage of market-oriented development is established.In the market-oriented develop-ment stage,enterprises respectively produce GPTs-based products to maximize their profits,while in the GPTs supply stage,they make decisions under different supply models.Then the supply decisions and its influence factors problem are revealed for duopoly enterprises which faces independent research(Scenario Ⅰ),research/imitation(Scenario H)and Research Joint Venture(RJV,Scenario Ⅲ).The main results are as follows:the technical attribute of GPTs,which is more basic or applied,is an important influence factors on the decision-making of GPTs supply for duopoly enterprises,and it is also affected by the net cost coefficient of GPTs sup-ply.For Scenario Ⅰ and Scenario Ⅱ,if the basic characteristic is obvious,the duopoly enterprises will choose Scenario Ⅰ,and if the applied characteristic is obvious,then choose Scenario Ⅱ.For Scenario Ⅰ and m,Scenario Ⅱ and Ⅲ,the technical attributes of GPTs and the collaboration degree of RJV are the basic factors that affect the decision-making of GPTs supply.According to the technical attributes(basic attribute and application attribute)of GPTs and the collaboration degree(small collaboration degree and large collaboration degree)of RJV,a four-quadrant analysis matrix is established.In addition,the technical attribute of GPTs has an firstly ascended and then descended effect on the profit of duopoly enterprises in Scenario Ⅰ,and the govern-ment subsidy weakens the negative effect of net supply cost on the profit,but does not change the impact trajec-tory of the technical attribute.According to the research conclusions,policy suggestions are put forward to choose the supply mode of GPTs from two aspects of weighing the technical attribute of GPTs and the col-laboration degree of RJV,so as to promote the GPTs supply and the market-oriented development.These will stimulate the enthusiasm of enterprise research,cultivate the market-oriented development product of GPTs,help to connect the supply chain and promote GPTs R&.D.The classic AJ model is used to describe the market competition environment and it is applied to the innovation situation of GPTs,and the supply decision of GPTs is explored for market-oriented development.The decision-making game models of GPTs supply under three situations provide enlightenment for the in-depth study in the GPTs fields,and the policy suggestions provid reference for the decision-making of enterprises undertaking GPTs R&D and government department.

GPTssupply decisionsmarket-oriented developmentRJVgame theory

郑月龙、白春光、李登峰

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电子科技大学经济与管理学院,四川 成都 611731

重庆工商大学废油资源化技术与装配教育部工程研究中心,重庆 400067

共性技术 供给决策 市场化开发 联合研究 博弈论

国家社会科学基金一般项目重庆市自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金面上项目

20BJY005CSTB2024NSCQ-MSX034672072021

2024

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.938
ISSN:1003-207X
年,卷(期):2024.32(8)