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中国区域电力企业可再生能源电力配额分配机制研究

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气候变化和环境污染是当今世界能源与环境管理所面临的重要问题。为了缓解气候变化和环境污染问题以实现"双碳"目标，大力发展可再生能源已刻不容缓。然而，可再生能源的某些特性(如不确定性和高成本)限制了其进一步发展。许多国家开始实施可再生能源电力配额制，以进一步大力发展可再生能源。本文提出了一种基于数据驱动的可再生能源电力配额分配方法，以实现可再生能源消耗总目标。具体地，首先，利用各地区电力行业的历史生产数据构建其生产可能集，以显示不同可再生能源配额下生产的变化。然后，根据每个地区电力行业的生产技术水平，提出了一种以最大化总发电量为目标的区域电力行业间可再生能源配额分配模型，确保最大化总发电量的同时，尽可能地最小化碳排放。最后，本文通过实证研究提出了发展可再生能源的相关管理政策建议。
Renewables Quota Allocation among Regional Power Industries under the Policy of Renewable Electricity Standard
Climate change and environmental pollution are major problems in energy and environment manage-ment around the world.To relieve these two problems for"double carbon"target,it is important to develop renewable energy.However,certain characteristics of renewable energy(e.g.,uncertainty and high cost)have limited its further development.Renewable electricity standard(RES)has been widely adopted inmany countries to further develop the renewable energy.In this paper,a data-driven approach is provided to allocate a renewables quota among the regional power industries of China in order to achieve a goal for renewable energy consumption.Specifically,each regional power industry's historical production data is used to build its own technology,which is used to show the changes of new productions with different renewables quotas.Then,based on each regional power industry's production technology,a maximum total electricity generation model is proposed to allocate the renewables quota among regional power industries.With maximizing total electricity generation as the primary goal,the proposed model also is able to minimize the total carbon emission as a secondary goal approach.Through empirical research,the following management suggestions are provided for the development of renewable energy:(1)In order to solve the energy supply and demand contradiction between high production and low consumption,it is necessary to accelerate the development of trans-provincial and trans-regional renewable energy transmission technology and improve transmission capacity(2)In the economically developed eastern region,the way to fulfill the responsibility weight of renewable power should be inclined to other ways except production(such as purchasing green certificates,purchasing renewable power,etc.).(3)In coordination with the planning of renewable energy power quota system and emission reduction targets.

renewable energyrenewable electricity standardrenewables quotaproduction technologyresource allocation

朱庆缘、陈希凡、陈杰、吴杰

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南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院、能源软科学研究中心,江苏 南京 211106

中国科学技术大学管理学院,安徽 合肥 230026

可再生能源 电力配额制 电力配额 生产技术 资源配置

国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家自然科学基金项目国家社会科学基金重大项目国家社会科学基金重大项目中国博士科学基金特别项目江苏省自然科学基金项目

7190408471971203715711737192100171834003722711217237123221&ZD11020ZDA0922020TQ0145BK20190427

2024

10.16381/j.cnki.issn1003-207x.2021.1115

中国管理科学
中国优选法统筹法与经济数学研究会 中科院科技政策与管理科学研究所

中国管理科学

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：1.938
ISSN：1003-207X
年,卷(期)：2024.32(9)